CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc26f272135189aafcc8d02af71275ffcda6dfa1f2028461aa514453fb827cfce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof ex-KRÜ Esports, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2761…4d95backed ALKA | 49c | 723.48$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.55 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ALKA | 50c | 633.35$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.27 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 31c | 614.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 49c | 578.76$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.11 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…4da5backed ALKA | 79c | 506.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ALKA | 67c | 502.94$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked ALKA | 66c | 468.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 40c | 399.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 45c | 390.41$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 49c | 315.62$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed ALKA | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALKA | 70c | 289$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 47c | 212.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed ALKA | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 45c | 189.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 25c | 172$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 30c | 163.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 48c | 158.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked ALKA | 64c | 154$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 33c | 153.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 49c | 125.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ALKA | 51c | 125.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 10c | 119.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +3,274.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 30c | 112$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ALKA | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked ALKA | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ALKA | 51c | 93.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…b4abbacked ALKA | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ALKA | 51c | 62.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed ALKA | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 49c | 40.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 48c | 32.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 48c | 30.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ALKA | 53c | 30.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed ALKA | 73c | 29.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 49c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…640bbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed ALKA | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.