TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x272e…640b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris: Emma Navarro vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Oeiras 4: Billy Harris vs Petr Brunclikbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Oeiras 2: Teodora Kostovic vs Francisca Jorgebacked Jorge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dallas Open: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex Michelsenbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Argentina Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Lautaro Midonbacked Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$100
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Detroit Titansbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.