TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Viktorija Golubicof Maya Joint, Viktorija Golubic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Viktorija Golubic52c19,382$10,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,276.115030%15 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Maya Joint20c9,999$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.288,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Maya Joint49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4301,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Maya Joint47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2904,07039.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L+92.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Maya Joint5c5,881$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004122%9 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Maya Joint17c3,513$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.27,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Viktorija Golubic74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.762061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Viktorija Golubic50c2,254$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.0764455.3%356 W · 288 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf677…0e56backed Maya Joint49c2,249$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11028350.5%143 W · 140 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Maya Joint23c2,162$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.5759348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Viktorija Golubic51c1,844$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.2571852.8%379 W · 339 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Maya Joint18c1,790$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.592,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc327…a208backed Maya Joint23c1,740$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002025%5 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Maya Joint48c1,600$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.997443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maya Joint19c1,532$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.3411,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Viktorija Golubic68c1,306$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.285,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Maya Joint47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56420234.2%69 W · 133 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Maya Joint48c1,176$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.5778336%282 W · 501 L+36.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Maya Joint47c1,170$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55018256.6%103 W · 79 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Viktorija Golubic56c1,161$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.6880341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f1…b417backed Maya Joint14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Maya Joint20c999.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9958438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…0f6bbacked Viktorija Golubic49c999.95$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.976842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Viktorija Golubic52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5493168.1%634 W · 297 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a1…b1f3backed Maya Joint31c940.37$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2905736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Maya Joint22c927.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Maya Joint48c816$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.1617649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Maya Joint48c734.8$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Viktorija Golubic51c699.96$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.981,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Maya Joint49c673.47$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Maya Joint9c653.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Maya Joint40c584.43$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7722248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Maya Joint9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509727.8%27 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Maya Joint24c545.9$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.516029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Maya Joint20c500.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cd…841dbacked Maya Joint13c499.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.510122.8%23 W · 78 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Maya Joint51c466.2$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.7624852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Maya Joint40c457.63$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.693,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097c…5cdebacked Maya Joint50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008447.6%40 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Viktorija Golubic75c399.99$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.512,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Maya Joint49c399.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.912,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Maya Joint47c372$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.847,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Viktorija Golubic57c349.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9520756%116 W · 91 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Maya Joint6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Maya Joint51c299.16$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.587660.5%46 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Maya Joint11c275.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.364,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Maya Joint6c269.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.252038.5%200 W · 320 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Maya Joint50c265.77$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8829850%149 W · 149 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Viktorija Golubic79c260.26$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.742,14454.2%1,162 W · 982 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Maya Joint23c257.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5484640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Maya Joint23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,66752.8%881 W · 786 L+43.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Maya Joint23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013727.7%38 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Maya Joint49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011247.3%53 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Viktorija Golubic52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9688749.8%442 W · 445 L-22.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Maya Joint49c199.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4294549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Maya Joint40c196.49$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7979951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cee…0d1ebacked Maya Joint51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe89e…d4a7backed Viktorija Golubic52c195.02$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.611353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…817bbacked Maya Joint10c189.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-50.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Viktorija Golubic79c174.34$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5332853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Viktorija Golubic77c149.2$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.151,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Maya Joint50c145$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.534549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Maya Joint41c139.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5724463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Viktorija Golubic48c134.23$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.81,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Maya Joint48c132.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7714744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maya Joint43c131.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.988,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Viktorija Golubic76c130.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9873549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Maya Joint26c128.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.71,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Maya Joint50c125.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.792,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Maya Joint21c124$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0417617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Maya Joint48c118.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Maya Joint31c118$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5847449.6%235 W · 239 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e3…daf8backed Maya Joint39c116.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.142231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Maya Joint49c116.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Viktorija Golubic52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.814753.1%78 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Maya Joint24c109.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0674346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Maya Joint48c106.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.282,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Viktorija Golubic52c102.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Maya Joint50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,50537.7%568 W · 937 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272e…640bbacked Viktorija Golubic50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Maya Joint31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc473…bc66backed Maya Joint51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Viktorija Golubic78c96.82$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.325763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Maya Joint30c96.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.871,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Maya Joint49c87.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351236.5%187 W · 325 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ebc…0becbacked Maya Joint28c84.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Viktorija Golubic65c84.29$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.528,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Maya Joint48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maya Joint44c78.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.524,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf81f…1c7cbacked Viktorija Golubic71c78.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Viktorija Golubic61c78.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.761,21252%630 W · 582 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Maya Joint18c77.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1470821.2%150 W · 558 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd85a…1d03backed Viktorija Golubic52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9210571.4%75 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Viktorija Golubic69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4617650.6%89 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…7dffbacked Maya Joint21c71.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514415.3%22 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Maya Joint52c71.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3730158.8%177 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Maya Joint24c70.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Viktorija Golubic60c67.6$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.994,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Viktorija Golubic78c64.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9991880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Maya Joint21c62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0216718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.