TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dallas Open: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex Michelsen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michelsenof Dimitrov, Michelsen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,159,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,600,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,159,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe39d…e3dcbacked Michelsen47c425,137$200,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224,443.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Dimitrov53c123,628$65,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,419.7122037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Dimitrov53c100,000$53,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,0003268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Dimitrov14c24,462$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.756829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Dimitrov59c24,019$14,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,196.5711242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dimitrov53c23,869$12,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,593.4211,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Dimitrov20c15,582$3,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,125.7611943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Michelsen55c12,831$7,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,796.3692655.9%518 W · 408 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Michelsen33c12,132$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,102.591,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Michelsen51c10,000$5,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,901.4443051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Dimitrov54c9,392$5,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,034.142,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Dimitrov51c8,564$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,35035247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michelsen66c6,679$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.58,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Michelsen53c6,402$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.9437540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Michelsen51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.9829045.9%133 W · 157 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b7…00a0backed Dimitrov51c5,720$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.31323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-53.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Dimitrov54c5,671$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.622,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Dimitrov49c5,330$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.51,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Michelsen48c4,941$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.391,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Dimitrov49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dimitrov49c3,956$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.234,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Michelsen33c3,765$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.3718663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Michelsen52c3,440$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.4948851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Dimitrov49c3,050$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.525428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Dimitrov51c2,904$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.892,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Dimitrov46c2,525$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.3557939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Dimitrov60c2,400$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02c…7852backed Michelsen50c2,350$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.832166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Dimitrov49c2,343$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.0715952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Dimitrov48c2,297$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.933,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Dimitrov60c2,116$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26130241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Michelsen52c2,048$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Michelsen51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dimitrov55c1,998$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.847,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9206…42a6backed Michelsen52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.15858.6%34 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Michelsen47c1,880$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9977248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Michelsen51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.6914351%73 W · 70 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Dimitrov48c1,425$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.177736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Dimitrov49c1,323$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.151,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Michelsen52c1,197$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.1947552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Michelsen52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2831753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Michelsen63c1,082$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.5830544.9%137 W · 168 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Michelsen24c1,049$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.3436554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Michelsen48c1,044$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.1155646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Dimitrov53c1,043$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.1784736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Michelsen51c996.38$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.3811353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Dimitrov51c975.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50097540.1%391 W · 584 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Michelsen56c961.13$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.026648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Michelsen52c958.72$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.722268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Michelsen30c958.17$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.4218644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Dimitrov49c940.58$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.541,15144.4%511 W · 640 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Michelsen46c939.49$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.619846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Dimitrov49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Michelsen55c761.07$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.772,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Michelsen21c760.43$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Dimitrov55c759$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.71,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…933abacked Dimitrov47c757.45$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3562161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Dimitrov57c730$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.782,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Michelsen45c708.2$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.7484857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Michelsen52c672.5$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.86127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michelsen30c636.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.821,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Dimitrov48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Dimitrov49c540$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.61,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Dimitrov58c527.49$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3852037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Dimitrov49c515.5$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.622747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Dimitrov50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Dimitrov49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24512755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Michelsen38c483.31$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0113652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Michelsen42c443.44$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Michelsen43c438$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.472755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Michelsen55c416.16$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9847057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Dimitrov45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18048552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Dimitrov14c399.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562528%7 W · 18 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Dimitrov48c399.9$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8724229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Dimitrov53c396.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Dimitrov51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,83648.4%889 W · 947 L-32.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Dimitrov50c391.06$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19637339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Dimitrov9c377.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3425152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Dimitrov49c346.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ff…38f5backed Michelsen44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.91560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Dimitrov50c329.65$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.446,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Dimitrov53c316.01$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3717867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Dimitrov48c314$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Dimitrov49c302.04$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14824852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Dimitrov58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.784250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dimitrov49c299.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed Michelsen51c299.28$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.652176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Michelsen25c289.63$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1215363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Dimitrov7c286.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Dimitrov35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Dimitrov78c284.62$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Michelsen51c276$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2420043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d91…7e2ebacked Michelsen46c264.18$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Dimitrov53c250.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1620653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Michelsen50c245.45$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4526247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Dimitrov51c238.76$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8565840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Dimitrov59c231.43$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-62.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Michelsen33c230.76$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7626227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff47…ce33backed Dimitrov12c225.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.98425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-58.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Michelsen46c216.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7947946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.