Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bf1bd989a267360589999c023a89a486cb43319138fbcb83f75725cf2573ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,014 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed MOUZ | 62c | 100,976$62,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,170.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed OG | 37c | 44,685$16,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,990.82 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 40c | 25,991$10,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,513.81 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ | 41c | 20,014$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed OG | 56c | 11,151$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.6 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed OG | 78c | 10,559$8,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.88 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 44c | 10,125$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.37 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed MOUZ | 53c | 9,671$5,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125.93 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 42c | 9,376$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.58 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked OG | 41c | 9,065$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.64 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 46c | 6,100$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.89 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 46c | 5,509$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.19 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed OG | 45c | 5,435$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.01 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed OG | 51c | 5,121$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.19 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed MOUZ | 61c | 4,912$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.13 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked OG | 52c | 4,768$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.9 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 44c | 4,091$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.1 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ | 22c | 3,923$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.08 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed MOUZ | 49c | 3,824$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.43 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed MOUZ | 8c | 3,764$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.14 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked MOUZ | 59c | 3,578$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.29 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed MOUZ | 62c | 3,559$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed OG | 47c | 3,341$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.02 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked MOUZ | 22c | 3,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ | 47c | 2,876$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.67 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed MOUZ | 65c | 2,711$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,686$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed MOUZ | 47c | 2,655$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.34 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 46c | 2,415$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.9 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked MOUZ | 54c | 2,318$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,257$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.58 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked OG | 51c | 2,080$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.2 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked OG | 73c | 2,030$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.99 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed OG | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked OG | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,952$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.99 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,881$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 53c | 1,800$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed OG | 52c | 1,791$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.38 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 46c | 1,733$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,642$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed OG | 68c | 1,564$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.27 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…6cdbbacked OG | 56c | 1,494$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked OG | 48c | 1,434$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.92 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,337$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.04 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed OG | 45c | 1,284$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.45 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked OG | 57c | 1,152$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.09 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed OG | 44c | 1,143$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.45 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked OG | 49c | 1,124$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,089$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.97 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,071$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed OG | 57c | 1,048$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.04 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG | 56c | 1,041$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.24 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,000$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed MOUZ | 12c | 986.27$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed MOUZ | 62c | 977.93$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.32 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 52c | 975.75$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.24 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG | 49c | 971.94$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.34 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked OG | 44c | 970.84$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.49 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked MOUZ | 2c | 886.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -71%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed OG | 45c | 884.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.6 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed OG | 74c | 883.88$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.81 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed OG | 45c | 879.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.92 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed OG | 42c | 804.88$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.88 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked MOUZ | 29c | 804.75$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.12 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed MOUZ | 64c | 782.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…0a56backed MOUZ | 27c | 728$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed OG | 65c | 726.12$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.95 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed MOUZ | 54c | 725.17$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.64 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked MOUZ | 58c | 715.52$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed OG | 51c | 690.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.58 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4274…a1e9backed MOUZ | 65c | 657.62$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed OG | 56c | 638.51$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.58 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed OG | 63c | 584$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.94 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…018abacked OG | 73c | 583$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed OG | 62c | 567.97$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.83 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 58c | 556.27$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 19c | 545.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked MOUZ | 37c | 540.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 53c | 539.66$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.34 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 44c | 534.69$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.84 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed OG | 52c | 523.23$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.23 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ | 58c | 516.69$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed OG | 50c | 501.27$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.45 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 47c | 490.72$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.08 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed MOUZ | 59c | 489.77$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed MOUZ | 50c | 489.14$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.57 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed MOUZ | 49c | 479.61$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.22 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed MOUZ | 58c | 458.04$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.27 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed OG | 46c | 455.04$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed MOUZ | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked MOUZ | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…95d1backed MOUZ | 51c | 403.47$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed MOUZ | 28c | 395.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked MOUZ | 23c | 392.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 49c | 392.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.34 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked MOUZ | 27c | 377.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.