Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd940ec6d26730524c9b33920a9d8d3957e85808fa259dc2699c4883c8f00f2f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof OG, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,330 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d85…c436backed OG | 0c | 25,040$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ | 50c | 19,524$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,824.14 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked OG | 48c | 18,221$8,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,805.14 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked OG | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed MOUZ | 49c | 11,240$5,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757.59 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked OG | 53c | 9,348$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.22 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed MOUZ | 48c | 5,872$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.9 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed OG | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked OG | 51c | 4,858$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.77 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed OG | 50c | 4,802$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.91 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed OG | 49c | 3,548$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.95 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed OG | 40c | 3,159$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.8 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…b5febacked OG | 11c | 3,042$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed OG | 49c | 3,000$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.35 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 52c | 2,718$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.49 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,636$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.78 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed MOUZ | 79c | 2,400$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.04 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked OG | 38c | 2,302$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.69 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 50c | 2,100$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.32 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 66c | 2,047$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.08 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 50c | 2,021$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.69 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,821$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 47c | 1,657$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.01 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed MOUZ | 70c | 1,277$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.61 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed OG | 23c | 1,200$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.81 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed OG | 2c | 1,196$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.03 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,116$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.56 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed OG | 45c | 1,043$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.22 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed OG | 47c | 1,033$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 50c | 1,003$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked OG | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked OG | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed OG | 50c | 990$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed OG | 48c | 967.31$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.31 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 942.83$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.17 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed OG | 46c | 925.93$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.93 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked OG | 48c | 902.93$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.93 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 53c | 825.75$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.63 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ | 52c | 812.31$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.18 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed OG | 50c | 688$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed OG | 50c | 668$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed OG | 48c | 642.79$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.24 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 49c | 600.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.88 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked OG | 33c | 545.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG | 37c | 536.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 54c | 507.08$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.09 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked OG | 53c | 481.24$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed OG | 45c | 437.56$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed OG | 47c | 424.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 46c | 420.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.88 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 57c | 413.57$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed OG | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked OG | 43c | 395.34$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked MOUZ | 52c | 371.96$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…67a9backed OG | 32c | 360.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG | 11c | 353.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed MOUZ | 53c | 347.52$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 52c | 330.64$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed OG | 52c | 325.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 52c | 322.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked MOUZ | 55c | 302.71$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.71 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 53c | 284.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed OG | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked OG | 50c | 256.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.09 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed MOUZ | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked OG | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed OG | 47c | 190$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed MOUZ | 54c | 185.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed OG | 51c | 171.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed MOUZ | 74c | 170.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed MOUZ | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked OG | 53c | 148.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked OG | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc296…0fdcbacked OG | 10c | 135.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked MOUZ | 54c | 128.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ | 75c | 127.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked OG | 53c | 116$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked OG | 19c | 106.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…5473backed MOUZ | 49c | 102.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…03acbacked OG | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed MOUZ | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed OG | 53c | 99.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked OG | 53c | 93.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed MOUZ | 51c | 91.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed MOUZ | 71c | 88.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…8bf0backed MOUZ | 53c | 75.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…88d6backed MOUZ | 55c | 73.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 187 | 69%129 W · 58 L | +20.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked OG | 53c | 73.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed OG | 49c | 71.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked MOUZ | 56c | 69.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 66c | 65.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed MOUZ | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked MOUZ | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…66a4backed OG | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked OG | 37c | 58.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked OG | 52c | 57.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.