Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9ea5d8cd18ca174fa5bbe7833d9601e5f204c475f614a5f407320da8e9ea0b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,863 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ | 45c | 19,542$8,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,703.83 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 54c | 13,840$7,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,407.31 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed OG | 60c | 12,197$7,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.11 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 40c | 9,633$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.49 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed OG | 60c | 7,725$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.88 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 53c | 7,263$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.45 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed OG | 47c | 6,784$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.42 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed OG | 47c | 4,900$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.71 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 4,686$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.23 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 49c | 4,466$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.21 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 4,051$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 53c | 3,105$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.79 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 46c | 3,068$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.74 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 56c | 2,965$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.64 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed OG | 47c | 2,855$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.05 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed OG | 50c | 2,385$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.44 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed OG | 55c | 2,082$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.19 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed MOUZ | 12c | 2,046$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.42 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed OG | 55c | 1,916$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed OG | 74c | 1,524$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.54 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed OG | 56c | 1,282$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed OG | 56c | 1,200$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 49c | 920.49$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked OG | 46c | 875.64$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.02 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed OG | 50c | 820.6$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.8 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed OG | 43c | 810.37$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.91 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked OG | 49c | 770$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.7 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed OG | 41c | 697.56$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.89 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed MOUZ | 64c | 636.43$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 43c | 619.02$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.02 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed OG | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 49c | 589.76$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.76 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed OG | 48c | 517.67$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.53 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 500$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked OG | 45c | 491.57$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 46c | 487.64$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.65 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed OG | 46c | 485.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.15 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed OG | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed MOUZ | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 54c | 372.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 54c | 367.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.27 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…8ca4backed MOUZ | 57c | 352.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 44c | 327.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked OG | 60c | 322.36$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked OG | 64c | 312.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed OG | 52c | 300.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.63 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked MOUZ | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed MOUZ | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…04d9backed MOUZ | 46c | 269.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed MOUZ | 18c | 253.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed MOUZ | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed OG | 48c | 248.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 38c | 234.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed OG | 58c | 223.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked MOUZ | 64c | 205.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MOUZ | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…4806backed MOUZ | 55c | 198.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed MOUZ | 52c | 190.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked MOUZ | 57c | 181.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked OG | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…9145backed MOUZ | 53c | 166.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed MOUZ | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MOUZ | 38c | 157$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked MOUZ | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed OG | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 29c | 129.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed OG | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa6…8046backed MOUZ | 56c | 124.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked MOUZ | 56c | 120.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed OG | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked OG | 41c | 110.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed OG | 44c | 109$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed MOUZ | 47c | 107.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed OG | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked OG | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked OG | 47c | 98.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…5473backed MOUZ | 45c | 94.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed MOUZ | 44c | 88.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 43c | 86.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed OG | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…fa2bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 83.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 82.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed MOUZ | 57c | 82.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked MOUZ | 56c | 81.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed OG | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed MOUZ | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed OG | 57c | 78.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed OG | 51c | 76.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 75.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed OG | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…03acbacked MOUZ | 54c | 74.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…26e0backed MOUZ | 58c | 72.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked OG | 46c | 72.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…ee69backed OG | 47c | 71.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…3045backed MOUZ | 39c | 70.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.