Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Lautaro Midon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa042a997021464623135c8c9049c3ad5a9ebb6e43f66a9da1b5baad55556d7a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Midonof Galan, Midon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Midon | 74c | 8,486$6,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.94 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Galan | 27c | 7,378$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.22 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Galan | 19c | 5,250$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.12 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Galan | 44c | 4,662$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Midon | 60c | 4,182$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.7 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Midon | 50c | 2,349$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.25 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Galan | 31c | 1,686$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.55 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Midon | 46c | 1,563$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.57 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Galan | 41c | 1,199$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.74 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Galan | 39c | 616$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.12 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Galan | 54c | 560$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Galan | 28c | 488.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Galan | 55c | 480.29$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Midon | 46c | 443.42$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.88 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Midon | 51c | 433.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Galan | 39c | 412.52$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Midon | 52c | 282.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Galan | 35c | 245.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Midon | 50c | 200.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Midon | 77c | 195.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Midon | 52c | 193.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Midon | 52c | 193.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Galan | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galan | 36c | 191.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Galan | 26c | 184.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Galan | 51c | 175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Galan | 24c | 149.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Midon | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Midon | 69c | 120.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Galan | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Galan | 40c | 115.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Galan | 32c | 111$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…292fbacked Galan | 54c | 108.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Galan | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc473…bc66backed Midon | 51c | 98.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Midon | 51c | 98.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Galan | 24c | 95.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…36b4backed Galan | 52c | 95.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…640bbacked Galan | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Galan | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Galan | 52c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Galan | 38c | 73.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Midon | 67c | 72.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c9…89cfbacked Galan | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Midon | 45c | 59.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Midon | 68c | 55.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Galan | 43c | 50.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 329 | 37.4%123 W · 206 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Midon | 67c | 49.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…c770backed Galan | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Midon | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Galan | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Galan | 61c | 41.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galan | 37c | 37.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Midon | 68c | 35.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Midon | 60c | 30.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Galan | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Galan | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Galan | 54c | 26.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…d80dbacked Galan | 56c | 26.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Galan | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Galan | 47c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Galan | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Midon | 51c | 19.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Lautaro Midonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Galan vs MidonMidon won
- Set Handicap: Galan (-1.5) vs Midon (+1.5)Midon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.