TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1c9…89cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT4757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.96
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$22.82
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.84
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.68
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.28
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$10.05
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+39.8%+$23.78
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+50.4%+$10.08
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$21.45
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36.1%+$43.91
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.25
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.29
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$19.5
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.19
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$182.23
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.39
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$82.11
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tienbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$18.25
Miami Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.6
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Phoenix: Blaise Bicknell vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$15.5
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$10.06
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$65.76
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.2%+$29.89
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbertbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.2%+$26.54
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.84
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$27.44
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$31.66
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$45.65
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$29.27
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.25
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$43.11
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.1
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$35.54
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.7
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$24.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.6%+$26.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.