Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2268dcdab781543f5f6a55f30907f741881f79b7d9f8deade439ee219e1b2298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liberty Flamesof Liberty Flames, New Mexico State Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Liberty Flames | 62c | 4,500$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed New Mexico State Aggies | 3c | 2,400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 2,105$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed New Mexico State Aggies | 3c | 1,800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liberty Flames | 78c | 1,380$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed New Mexico State Aggies | 5c | 1,300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Liberty Flames | 48c | 1,052$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.94 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 22c | 954.43$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.46 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 921.09$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed New Mexico State Aggies | 24c | 800$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed New Mexico State Aggies | 33c | 660$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.03 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 509.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 453.2$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 447.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 24c | 434.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 430$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico State Aggies | 15c | 430$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Liberty Flames | 75c | 400$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Liberty Flames | 63c | 398.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Liberty Flames | 72c | 322.16$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Liberty Flames | 67c | 297.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Liberty Flames | 38c | 248.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.59 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Liberty Flames | 59c | 248.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 236.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed Liberty Flames | 58c | 189.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Liberty Flames | 78c | 155$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Liberty Flames | 76c | 130.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Liberty Flames | 57c | 103.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico State Aggies | 44c | 103.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed New Mexico State Aggies | 57c | 100.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Liberty Flames | 61c | 99.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liberty Flames | 60c | 98.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Liberty Flames | 56c | 96.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New Mexico State Aggies | 32c | 96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 93.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Liberty Flames | 39c | 92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 47c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Liberty Flames | 62c | 65.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed New Mexico State Aggies | 35c | 63.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Mexico State Aggies | 29c | 61.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Liberty Flames | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 59.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Liberty Flames | 62c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Liberty Flames | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…a956backed Liberty Flames | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New Mexico State Aggies | 39c | 48.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 45.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Liberty Flames | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c9…89cfbacked Liberty Flames | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 34c | 37.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…e23abacked Liberty Flames | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Liberty Flames | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico State Aggies | 40c | 32.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked New Mexico State Aggies | 37c | 31.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Liberty Flames | 63c | 31.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Liberty Flames | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Liberty Flames | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Liberty Flames | 60c | 28.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Liberty Flames | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Liberty Flames | 71c | 25.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Liberty Flames | 52c | 20.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…0979backed New Mexico State Aggies | 56c | 20.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Liberty Flames | 56c | 18.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…8e24backed Liberty Flames | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggiesthis page
- Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-3.5)New Mexico State Aggies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.