TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over52c76,799$39,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,881.5829446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under48c12,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5004047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under48c7,625$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9653345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under48c7,583$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.332544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2508351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under48c4,158$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.25736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c3,829$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.685,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under48c3,521$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.831643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under48c3,305$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under48c3,200$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,66424855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6257556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under48c2,400$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24813059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c1,841$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.711,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under77c1,823$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.2311055.5%61 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under48c1,400$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72816558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62424053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53011245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe5…f419backed Over48c974.87$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.231833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under48c920$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41628851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41623056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over25c793.32$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.573,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under48c700.01$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.5110467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under52c699.98$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31224956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31218358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over49c593.48$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8910741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under48c592.04$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.863243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under48c533.13$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8511338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a5…b591backed Under48c531$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.121687.5%14 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+53.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.416559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c516$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.321,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under49c514$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.7778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over48c479.24$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c399.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.461,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c384.32$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.048,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over53c353.96$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c347$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.072,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under69c345.83$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.21955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under50c336.84$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9923549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under48c320$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.421358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over50c317$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15817049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under48c312$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2421657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under48c312$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2420360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under46c308$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0612754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c303.79$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.142,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca3…f975backed Under48c302.08$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.081540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under48c280$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.622058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c261$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.721,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Over21c215.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1613748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10415560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10418959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over22c194.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.221,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c194$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8245253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under47c192$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7617255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c186.45$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.361,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed Over12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203557.1%20 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c163.6$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.851,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under48c161.92$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.233266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.215359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over50c144.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.412035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over53c135.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.762458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over48c91.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bb…8f3bbacked Under54c88.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under48c88.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1213049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under48c84.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6815424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under76c84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1611354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a25…738cbacked Over53c83.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.362352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Under48c82.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.15448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.613465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.755855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under63c71.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.138833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over57c71.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.729362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Over23c70.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.88821.6%19 W · 69 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under51c56.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9227855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under45c53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.152462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…2d8dbacked Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672650%13 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2211747.9%56 W · 61 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under45c38.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4529653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.745251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Under48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.24667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under48c34.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8928665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over48c32.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64736.2%17 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6417960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Over58c31.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.272931%9 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-48.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0962…6e40backed Under48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under53c23.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.881,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Under48c22.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.582161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under68c22.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.067454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.