TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CR Flamengoof CR Flamengo, Cusco FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed CR Flamengo46c61,499$28,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,230.729446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Cusco FC54c12,436$6,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,689.1142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Cusco FC54c5,381$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9064652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Cusco FC54c4,841$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.913345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Cusco FC54c4,800$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,59213059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Cusco FC54c3,889$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1002544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Cusco FC54c3,870$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0804143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Cusco FC54c3,200$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72824855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Cusco FC54c2,806$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5153148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked CR Flamengo46c2,523$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.485,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Cusco FC54c2,400$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29624053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed CR Flamengo47c2,243$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.292,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Cusco FC54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9917049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Cusco FC54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Cusco FC53c1,688$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Cusco FC54c1,644$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.984254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Cusco FC54c1,600$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86428851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Cusco FC54c1,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Cusco FC53c1,325$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Cusco FC53c1,248$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.3321844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Cusco FC54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64824956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Cusco FC54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64818358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Cusco FC54c1,187$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.813243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Cusco FC54c1,040$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.615857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Cusco FC54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Cusco FC54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked CR Flamengo47c662$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.081,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Cusco FC54c640$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Cusco FC54c624$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9620360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed CR Flamengo50c536.78$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9215424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Cusco FC54c520$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Cusco FC54c503$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.621,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Cusco FC54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Cusco FC54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21615560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked CR Flamengo28c397.77$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.778133.3%27 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked CR Flamengo52c383.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.322951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Cusco FC54c350.51$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.293850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Cusco FC54c349.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.994025%10 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed CR Flamengo46c333.54$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.131,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Cusco FC54c312$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed CR Flamengo47c298.02$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cusco FC63c290.14$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.728,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Cusco FC55c283$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.182,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Cusco FC54c280$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Cusco FC54c276.74$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.446350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed CR Flamengo52c267.58$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.141764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cusco FC54c243$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Cusco FC54c231$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.741,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Cusco FC54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Cusco FC46c195.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked CR Flamengo46c179.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5941654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Cusco FC54c179.15$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7433266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Cusco FC54c169.84$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4511858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Cusco FC54c160$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.413465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed CR Flamengo50c148$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Cusco FC53c125$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Cusco FC53c113.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4523549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a5…b591backed CR Flamengo46c111.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.471687.5%14 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+53.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cusco FC73c105$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.651,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Cusco FC53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed CR Flamengo45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Cusco FC53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Cusco FC54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.219460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Cusco FC54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Cusco FC53c74.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Cusco FC54c64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5617960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Cusco FC53c63.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7612958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Cusco FC54c61.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.298821.6%19 W · 69 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed CR Flamengo51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.824872.9%35 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Cusco FC54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Cusco FC53c53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.952462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Cusco FC53c51.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1327855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cusco FC65c50.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.23,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Cusco FC54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Cusco FC46c49.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.67350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked CR Flamengo48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672650%13 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cusco FC54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.611459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Cusco FC54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.612761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Cusco FC49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611747.9%56 W · 61 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed CR Flamengo47c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.193360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Cusco FC49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1129653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x831d…3893backed Cusco FC54c27.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed CR Flamengo46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.042,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd4…b5e3backed Cusco FC54c23.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.84560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Cusco FC54c20.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8612755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Cusco FC54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87052.9%37 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cusco FC74c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.021,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.