South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30d10b0bd22f86a3321e6596d0020a2d05771ba626c54fe1b2626d6cbe298ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 1c | 3,416$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…2451backed Under | 1c | 1,160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +525%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 724.21$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 473.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.19 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 72c | 375.14$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 32c | 307.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 67c | 304.26$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 71c | 300.11$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 65c | 207.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 29c | 199.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 70c | 196.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 29c | 183.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 70c | 175.35$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Over | 69c | 145.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 120.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Over | 10c | 119.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over | 77c | 102.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…7152backed Over | 75c | 95.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 69c | 92.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…8f3bbacked Under | 27c | 88.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 68c | 81.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…bc90backed Under | 65c | 74.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Under | 55c | 65.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Over | 23c | 62.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Over | 71c | 56.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Under | 29c | 54.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 43c | 48.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…374bbacked Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 68c | 38.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40bd…c4ebbacked Over | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 71c | 35.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 71c | 35.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…82b1backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 32c | 34.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 34c | 31.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 77c | 25.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 51c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 64c | 21.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…8285backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…683fbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Over | 56c | 18.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 70c | 17.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…4103backed Over | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 72c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Over | 77c | 15.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 72c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Over | 79c | 13.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.