TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof 9z, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cd1…285dbacked 9z40c12,000$4,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,768.419248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Sharks59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed 9z41c8,334$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,416.228960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sharks61c5,500$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Sharks59c4,471$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sharks63c3,978$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.445,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed 9z38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked 9z40c2,070$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.1710635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed 9z41c1,700$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70064058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sharks60c1,666$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.460248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sharks62c1,654$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.072,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed 9z41c1,250$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.518547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54fd…c606backed 9z38c1,031$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.77651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Sharks60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40018846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sharks55c1,000$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.662,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Sharks58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked 9z48c829.16$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39665650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Sharks59c772.67$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31620353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 9z35c764.54$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5919543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Sharks57c660.1$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8416346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cf…10fdbacked 9z36c588.67$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.921947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Sharks64c576.23$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.522,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Sharks58c525.24$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.625747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed 9z39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed 9z38c507.35$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7940639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Sharks61c499.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19539245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked 9z41c488.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 9z28c459.11$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.513,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked 9z42c346.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1724939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed 9z41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12367651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Sharks59c287.3$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4213351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96e6…abb3backed 9z14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sharks63c283.68$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6821263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed 9z37c261$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5799148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed 9z40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cc…6193backed 9z49c249.63$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed 9z41c244$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0420732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Sharks58c229.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.650947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Sharks61c220$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.626341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed 9z44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8840558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed 9z35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7049935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Sharks52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 9z36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed 9z39c177.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021942.5%93 W · 126 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed 9z40c174.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7033354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed 9z38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.51,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed 9z30c144.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.392250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed 9z38c140$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.222938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 9z37c127.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.624,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed 9z41c125$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2535153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x732c…08dbbacked 9z41c122.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed Sharks56c118$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9210151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Sharks64c111.75$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5974653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed 9z48c102.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8521159.7%126 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed 9z41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4144552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed 9z35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3557641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Sharks61c97.58$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3321949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Sharks62c97.27$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7250056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sharks70c97.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.141,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Sharks65c83.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1926048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Sharks62c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.812856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed 9z37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.613835.5%49 W · 89 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Sharks57c75.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.561,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Sharks59c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.659146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Sharks71c64.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6310650.9%54 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked 9z48c56.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1138636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03b…4197backed Sharks56c54.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.773237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed 9z37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.516754.5%91 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Sharks50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6ac0backed 9z50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259252.2%48 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked 9z41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed 9z38c47.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.912857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Sharks59c45.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8322447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed 9z38c39.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0729752.2%155 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b35…1dcebacked 9z45c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a25…738cbacked 9z40c36.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.973237.5%12 W · 20 L-6.6wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-37.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Sharks63c36.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6837855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked 9z41c36.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512248.4%59 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe22f…49b1backed 9z44c30.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Sharks50c27.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed 9z50c27.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421052.4%110 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffc…a5b7backed 9z42c25.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.631154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Sharks61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a46…fdf3backed Sharks65c23.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.338947.2%42 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Sharks63c18.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9812041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Sharks62c16.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3527452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.