CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe52c88e17fa48d37c50af664ff9da42eec03451f04e11fa113dfd560d79086b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 51c | 1,458$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.94 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 45c | 1,398$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.02 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Over | 30c | 767.23$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 53c | 576.73$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.88 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 50c | 565.34$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 562.97$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 57c | 555.24$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.16 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 500$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 73c | 384.3$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.94 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 42c | 355.51$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…f338backed Over | 56c | 337.91$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 313.48$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 47c | 308.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked Over | 68c | 292.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -13.4wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 39c | 256.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 58c | 247.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 47c | 240.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 42c | 173.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 53c | 157$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 45c | 152.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 42c | 148.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked Under | 72c | 124.16$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 54c | 98.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Over | 53c | 94.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 45c | 77.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 43c | 76.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…fe9bbacked Over | 54c | 66.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 45c | 60.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 46c | 60.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed Under | 55c | 45.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 45c | 36.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 58c | 20.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsSharks won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 1 WinnerSharks won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.