TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$295,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over73c138,354$100,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,355.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c93,330$26,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,957.233,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under27c19,105$5,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,158.3543344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under26c18,888$4,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910.864553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under44c15,230$6,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,716.72850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Over74c13,514$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cb…03a3backed Over74c12,570$9,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,268.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under26c9,286$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.0891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under32c8,897$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.131,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…7f92backed Over75c6,667$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under28c5,976$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.632,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over52c5,770$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.062860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under26c5,481$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.181,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under29c5,462$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.462,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over55c4,461$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.571225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Over74c4,054$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.943040%12 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7501060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under25c3,110$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.538144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under27c2,891$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.185740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under26c2,886$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.121,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under27c2,409$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.438254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under28c2,239$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.1538453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over74c2,103$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.8517233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under29c1,869$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.4314654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over73c1,646$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.742462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.351978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33d9…d857backed Over75c1,328$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over55c1,090$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under21c1,088$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.052934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over53c945$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.033636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Under29c941.73$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.28825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under26c907.9$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7544156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under29c874.45$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.957656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c872.25$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.3170239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under26c851.02$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.169448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under27c777$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.796136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under25c753.33$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.337354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over61c734.97$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.142733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under28c713.39$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.537268.1%49 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over74c676.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.541464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.682360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over74c675.16$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.54875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under29c644.35$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.824850%24 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over52c638.46$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under26c609.65$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.781,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…3680backed Over58c599.99$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under42c586.83$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.47922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Over72c556.39$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Over73c554.28$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.91366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under26c513$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0966150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under28c490.74$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2493…d529backed Over75c473.45$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over74c472.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.971181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under43c468.88$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2911643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over74c459.36$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.438165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over51c399.97$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.991741.2%7 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick20cpaid+141.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under29c395.66$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.193363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over78c395$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.223461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over73c383.66$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under30c383.54$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.932,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under21c380.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under22c375.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.968550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under28c375$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.246956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Under27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under27c370.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.998853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over52c360.1$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed6…b0b3backed Over68c360$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x407a…6ebdbacked Over72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under39c303.81$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.55933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under27c292.78$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.94143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under27c289.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.222030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Over75c283.14$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over74c274.86$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.46366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over75c273.39$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.715263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over74c271.62$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.62683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under25c261$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2f…cb55backed Under27c261$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Over74c256.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.761560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f25…8c36backed Over75c252.16$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed Over74c243.24$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.24875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over74c229.19$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under27c227.47$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.424358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ea…05b8backed Over74c221.62$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.621283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf713…fdebbacked Under27c214.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Over74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7878…26d9backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+123.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a94…b06bbacked Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd57b…7358backed Over60c199.97$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under26c189.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.289141.8%38 W · 53 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf89d…6f39backed Over61c175.38$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.