TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$467,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$564,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed Over48c61,681$29,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,209.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under52c60,000$31,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,199.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Under51c46,725$23,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,829.783250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over49c43,713$21,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,293.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c42,841$20,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,640.562860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c26,434$12,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,566.743,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c18,671$9,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,521.981,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over49c17,950$8,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,233.9812832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over48c16,571$7,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,616.757100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under52c16,184$8,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,415.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under52c15,812$8,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,239.451650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c12,055$6,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,027.363745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.675729.8%17 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.9810960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under24c8,376$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under51c8,364$4,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,265.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c7,649$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.7891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Over50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over79c6,500$5,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c6,322$3,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,272.7943344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c6,253$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.111,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Under50c5,242$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,620.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.994573.3%33 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.155448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1207963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Over51c3,918$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over45c3,431$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under51c3,316$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+165%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5301861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over34c2,846$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.071520%3 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+167.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c2,666$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.212,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over48c2,619$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.022,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under29c2,499$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.663636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over44c2,485$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.791060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over45c2,400$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over47c2,225$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.274341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.661723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over48c2,098$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.754351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over47c2,069$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over48c2,058$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.253040%12 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.861656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under51c1,938$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over48c1,774$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.337755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over47c1,748$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.641,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c1,694$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.332,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under30c1,645$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.23933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under51c1,563$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over49c1,523$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.111855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Over48c1,371$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under53c1,350$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.478124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over48c1,309$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.578254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under51c1,203$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.42828.6%8 W · 20 L-7.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd88d…f708backed Over49c1,161$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-48.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under50c1,111$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.032737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.991833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over50c1,087$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.572638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under53c1,053$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.893839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5206331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+69.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under54c999.81$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under52c963.5$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3644156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under51c919.94$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.177354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under55c903.13$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under52c899.93$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.462568%17 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under48c892.87$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.619141.8%38 W · 53 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over49c750$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c735.79$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.858550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under51c733.91$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.072733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over48c729.17$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.17862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over30c729$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.31631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick22cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over50c720$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604269%29 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over72c653.9$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.761181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over76c653.1$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.742343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under28c647.5$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.513627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under51c646.56$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.7511657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under52c640.74$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.665534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over48c630$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+69.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under53c593.68$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.191573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd532…28b5backed Over32c566.81$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c552.62$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over46c538.67$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.131675%12 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+84.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c529.69$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7769448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1b…82fdbacked Under57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Over44c522.73$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.733834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under51c519.71$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26538144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over46c504.01$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.