CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1654cccd6ee3405c237cf7d421b9825a829381694d84f252c51285b73bb5f072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof 3DMAX, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Liquid | 67c | 479.91$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.37 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed 3DMAX | 33c | 306.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid | 70c | 281.2$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Liquid | 69c | 252.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked 3DMAX | 31c | 250.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed 3DMAX | 30c | 239.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed 3DMAX | 36c | 223.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Liquid | 64c | 218.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Liquid | 68c | 121.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed 3DMAX | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed 3DMAX | 33c | 85.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Liquid | 69c | 83.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed 3DMAX | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Liquid | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked 3DMAX | 31c | 49.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…738cbacked Liquid | 69c | 39.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liquid | 68c | 36.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed 3DMAX | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Liquid | 71c | 27.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Liquid | 77c | 19.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Liquid | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Liquid | 80c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.