South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685f153d16de14f9ccb76d342beeadba375d6d4f98a998db688f0c4ea82b4d82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 40c | 3,086$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.47 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 60c | 1,392$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.87 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 80c | 1,159$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 60c | 943.16$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 60c | 638.8$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.13 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 40c | 486.95$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 430.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 19c | 429.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 373.61$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 60c | 253.65$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d9cabacked Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 182.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 173.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 42c | 119.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 95.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…8762backed Over | 32c | 88.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 21c | 86.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 60c | 85.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 21c | 81.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Over | 32c | 40.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…4edbbacked Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…738cbacked Under | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…5847backed Under | 70c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.