South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa99957069ed679fca8924b599f6b9c50c6bbaad7cd1f56042757c24947f63874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 53c | 2,579$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.5 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 30c | 1,149$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.84 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 927.38$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.69 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 39c | 747.25$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.47 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 624.69$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.21 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 47c | 498.41$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.16 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 61c | 468.6$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 445.25$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.15 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb5…11babacked Yes | 49c | 377.55$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 42c | 249.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 244.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 43c | 232$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 17c | 191.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 21c | 158$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 33c | 116.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 60c | 108$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 20c | 104.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 46c | 70.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 52c | 67.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 62.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 45c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Yes | 49c | 50.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 64c | 44.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 51c | 42.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…44e9backed Yes | 80c | 35.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Yes | 35c | 31.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 54c | 25.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 59c | 23.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 54c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 45c | 23.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…d11bbacked Yes | 62c | 16.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…c61ebacked Yes | 71c | 14.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.