South American Leagues · resolved market
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae983481f067d77f550f2a9ba00363b9a29fd597372389b07d4d8c2f1ab2acf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 51c | 1,481$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.65 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 47c | 1,106$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,061$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 56c | 698.14$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.69 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 582.57$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.81 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 506.84$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 43c | 465.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…776dbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 47c | 394$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 55c | 329$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 39c | 296.35$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.65 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 139.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Yes | 57c | 132$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 46c | 86.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Yes | 45c | 61.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 39c | 50.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 53c | 49.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 53c | 39.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 57c | 38.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked No | 49c | 33.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 55c | 32.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…fe3fbacked No | 59c | 30.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…738cbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 47c | 29.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 43c | 28.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 26.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 55c | 26.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4eddbacked Yes | 57c | 26.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Yes | 52c | 24.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)Independiente Medellín won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)Cusco FC won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-2.5)Cusco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.