South American Leagues · resolved market
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc7323e1f0eeb5cc4fc1b2f387c1a22f2a6b700aaecf60182c10f8419b213707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 2,359$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 19c | 1,159$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.84 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 27c | 919.9$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.37 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 507.77$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…8116backed Over | 74c | 405.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 65c | 320.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 20c | 320$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 73c | 316.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 73c | 316.89$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 73c | 300.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Under | 20c | 240.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 76c | 198$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 73c | 184.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…7ab8backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 27c | 141$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 63c | 139.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Over | 64c | 100.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 93.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 67c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Over | 67c | 55.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 30c | 51.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 70c | 47.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 58c | 45.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 78c | 36.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…fe3fbacked Under | 38c | 30.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 47c | 27.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 53c | 20.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 73c | 18.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Over | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5this page
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)Independiente Medellín won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)Cusco FC won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-2.5)Cusco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.