TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c22,286$11,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,142.111,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over18c4,298$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.2711618.1%21 W · 95 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over50c3,200$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c2,528$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.075,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over22c2,238$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.233537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c2,118$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9317055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over50c2,044$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.95543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ee…78ffbacked Under79c1,603$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over50c1,390$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.2116558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under77c1,321$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.683,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under54c1,281$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.31,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over35c1,190$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.5299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over50c1,181$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.4712757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,123$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.391,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over50c1,059$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.386056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over52c1,050$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50421844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6715945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c1,018$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.228,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under46c999.99$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.993234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c985.02$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.781,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under55c919.93$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.9622457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32511717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over47c599.98$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.994163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over50c520$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26016559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over50c520$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26015857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under52c461.54$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under53c459.15$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9220138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c451.22$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.392,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c432.68$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1472350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under9c429.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.65140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over47c400$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c390.33$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6845253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over16c370.3$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.055651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under62c370.17$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9225866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ce…e232backed Under62c367.39$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.781250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over48c345.58$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.596235.5%22 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c341.25$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.913,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over50c312$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15621657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003941%16 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over51c287.02$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.028133.3%27 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14022058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over50c269$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.521358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over16c199.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.571,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6831745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf89d…6f39backed Under80c187.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c166.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.662,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c166.36$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8015359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under65c153.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c132$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over50c121.62$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8120360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over52c105.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.510450%52 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over40c102.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3619963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Over63c101.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.545954.2%32 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over22c95.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.825552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over45c90.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.044742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Over52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.25152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7d…2cabbacked Over39c85.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.151050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4013465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under40c74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6411864.4%76 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over36c63.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.639652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under49c49.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under60c48.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910365%67 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over45c46.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3933266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over48c42.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.224930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over51c42.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under49c35.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4416653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over49c35.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.016357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1617960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under60c31.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7667548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Under55c30.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under37c30.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.293756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.341654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8b…0d95backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+126.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under54c28.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.311346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under45c27.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.37456.7%3 W · 42 L-16.3wins-0.36per pick43cpaid-90.1%equal weight24-0.23 edge/pick
0xd27c…d9b8backed Over48c26.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under52c22.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.859936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under61c22.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over49c20.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c20.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under65c20.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.264156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed Over51c20.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.84358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.642462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.