South American Leagues · resolved market
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x514cfc8b2ca5f9f9a354ea5656f84f75e733c3d7ca237ed0c75175fefd43efb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 2,744$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.8 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 1,644$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.92 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 1,506$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.64 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed Under | 1c | 1,350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 75c | 920$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 78c | 427$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.06 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 22c | 393.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.95 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 3c | 375$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +483.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 24c | 284.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Under | 20c | 238.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c9…9a35backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 181$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 30c | 158.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 155.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 74c | 131.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…ccfbbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 19c | 65.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 76c | 64.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 31c | 64.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Over | 24c | 51.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 26c | 50.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 35c | 49.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 31c | 40.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 59c | 28.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 80c | 21.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 76c | 20.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 77cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5this page
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)Independiente Medellín won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)Cusco FC won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-2.5)Cusco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.