South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b3ba070482f9aa87a9b2a9dff96fa9138f00f3eaa44e8ad747f16c15270830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 31c | 1,550$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.45 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Yes | 69c | 1,543$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.45 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 72c | 1,385$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.72 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 13c | 1,242$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 1,179$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 16c | 1,141$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.94 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 28c | 1,082$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.37 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 29c | 855.13$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.09 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 73c | 777.63$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 30c | 752.74$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…d76abacked Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 69c | 663.33$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.63 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 26c | 597.85$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 18c | 555.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 18c | 555.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 70c | 466.84$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 28c | 449.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 30c | 446.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 31c | 445.91$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 416.74$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.19 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 31c | 376.92$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 366.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 281.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 31c | 248.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 30c | 222.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 27c | 216.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed No | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 12c | 181.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…a77ebacked Yes | 69c | 142.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…d7debacked No | 18c | 140.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 32c | 126.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…5d42backed Yes | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 69c | 119.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…3e13backed Yes | 69c | 107.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…2252backed No | 19c | 102.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 29c | 89.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 12c | 85.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 30c | 63.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 66c | 56.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…738cbacked Yes | 72c | 54.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed No | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 69c | 46.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed No | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…7152backed Yes | 69c | 37.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…0300backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 31c | 33.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6583…a593backed Yes | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Yes | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked Yes | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…5847backed Yes | 72c | 20.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 73c | 20.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf08f…d167backed Yes | 73c | 20.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed Yes | 70c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 70c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-20?this page
- Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-20?No won
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. CD Palestino end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.