CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5b89e37726356f99535582f5d64dba1e0d1d835caf25856cd16608a02c0d7f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof ASTRAL, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8051…2ab5backed MANA eSports | 50c | 1,990$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f27…4fb3backed ASTRAL | 55c | 1,541$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…9875backed ASTRAL | 9c | 1,212$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked MANA eSports | 52c | 870.74$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.33 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed MANA eSports | 28c | 699.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…7cc8backed ASTRAL | 73c | 689.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 32c | 627.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 55c | 606.97$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed ASTRAL | 61c | 598.74$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.74 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed ASTRAL | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed MANA eSports | 47c | 444.93$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.43 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed MANA eSports | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 61c | 382.89$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.88 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked MANA eSports | 45c | 334.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed ASTRAL | 49c | 333.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed ASTRAL | 63c | 314.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed MANA eSports | 43c | 309.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…eb23backed ASTRAL | 63c | 302.71$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0db2backed MANA eSports | 67c | 299.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…43a7backed MANA eSports | 35c | 247.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ASTRAL | 55c | 242.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…e0ffbacked MANA eSports | 51c | 207.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed ASTRAL | 63c | 205.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97d…e699backed ASTRAL | 49c | 203.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed ASTRAL | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked ASTRAL | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed MANA eSports | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed MANA eSports | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed MANA eSports | 18c | 191.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked MANA eSports | 45c | 191.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed MANA eSports | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed MANA eSports | 59c | 186$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MANA eSports | 47c | 184.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed ASTRAL | 56c | 176.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed ASTRAL | 46c | 164.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f56…b78ebacked MANA eSports | 38c | 140.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked ASTRAL | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed MANA eSports | 66c | 138.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MANA eSports | 44c | 135.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed MANA eSports | 53c | 134$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed MANA eSports | 60c | 133.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked MANA eSports | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked MANA eSports | 28c | 102.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed MANA eSports | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked MANA eSports | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed ASTRAL | 71c | 98.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c6…c275backed ASTRAL | 53c | 92.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked MANA eSports | 45c | 91.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MANA eSports | 33c | 90.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…4781backed ASTRAL | 57c | 89.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed MANA eSports | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…738cbacked ASTRAL | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked ASTRAL | 70c | 71.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed ASTRAL | 55c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ASTRAL | 66c | 64.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…4b05backed ASTRAL | 47c | 63.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked MANA eSports | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…7a8ebacked ASTRAL | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed ASTRAL | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ASTRAL | 52c | 56.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked ASTRAL | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb325…9dd2backed MANA eSports | 79c | 51.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed MANA eSports | 44c | 51.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked ASTRAL | 36c | 50.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…4f06backed ASTRAL | 48c | 50.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed ASTRAL | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked MANA eSports | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…fdbdbacked ASTRAL | 33c | 48.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked MANA eSports | 61c | 47.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed ASTRAL | 62c | 46.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked ASTRAL | 69c | 46.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed MANA eSports | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed MANA eSports | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed ASTRAL | 66c | 45.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked MANA eSports | 40c | 45.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed MANA eSports | 55c | 44.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed ASTRAL | 59c | 42.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed MANA eSports | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…fc99backed ASTRAL | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…2a7dbacked ASTRAL | 52c | 38.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…f8eabacked MANA eSports | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…f76ebacked ASTRAL | 56c | 35.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed MANA eSports | 59c | 32.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed MANA eSports | 75c | 30.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked ASTRAL | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…36f9backed MANA eSports | 60c | 29.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked MANA eSports | 37c | 27.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…bf75backed ASTRAL | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed MANA eSports | 59c | 26.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked ASTRAL | 67c | 26.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked MANA eSports | 40c | 25.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked ASTRAL | 64c | 23.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ASTRAL | 47c | 22.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xc50a…45cabacked ASTRAL | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.