CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd56eda08e85c62d500ef687e14c06e7a3a14160c4fc3ca53bcecaac8cbdf08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Heroic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Heroic | 55c | 47,371$26,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,053.8 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked NIP | 44c | 22,500$9,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,549.91 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Heroic | 54c | 15,846$8,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,556.9 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed NIP | 45c | 13,374$6,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,326.21 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…f84ebacked Heroic | 45c | 13,143$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed NIP | 46c | 9,148$4,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.03 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Heroic | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed NIP | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed NIP | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked Heroic | 57c | 4,700$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.98 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed NIP | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Heroic | 22c | 4,323$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.15 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked NIP | 45c | 4,270$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP | 45c | 4,067$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.91 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic | 21c | 3,443$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.23 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NIP | 72c | 3,265$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.05 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed NIP | 68c | 3,100$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.99 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed Heroic | 55c | 3,085$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e58abacked NIP | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Heroic | 55c | 2,986$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.26 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed NIP | 45c | 2,777$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.35 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Heroic | 21c | 2,769$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.92 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Heroic | 53c | 2,733$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Heroic | 55c | 2,508$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.31 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed NIP | 46c | 2,501$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.54 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Heroic | 37c | 2,464$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.64 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Heroic | 26c | 2,283$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.63 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP | 69c | 2,167$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.78 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Heroic | 33c | 2,107$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.31 | 297 | 39.4%117 W · 180 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 68c | 2,006$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.19 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked NIP | 78c | 1,968$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.35 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed NIP | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.95 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked NIP | 49c | 1,795$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked NIP | 68c | 1,770$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.9 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NIP | 45c | 1,750$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.5 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Heroic | 53c | 1,696$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.12 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic | 48c | 1,601$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.27 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed NIP | 44c | 1,591$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NIP | 61c | 1,500$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.05 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Heroic | 49c | 1,470$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.05 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked NIP | 78c | 1,446$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.85 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed NIP | 71c | 1,435$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.7 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed NIP | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Heroic | 57c | 1,290$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.97 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed NIP | 46c | 1,101$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.37 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed NIP | 45c | 1,089$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.89 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked NIP | 67c | 1,071$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.31 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 61c | 1,014$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.86 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked NIP | 43c | 1,003$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.71 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Heroic | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Heroic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Heroic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked NIP | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Heroic | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed NIP | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NIP | 68c | 962.99$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.91 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Heroic | 57c | 908.13$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed NIP | 44c | 900$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed NIP | 44c | 899.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked NIP | 43c | 894.18$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.74 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NIP | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed Heroic | 49c | 863.11$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.29 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed NIP | 43c | 822.23$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.31 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed NIP | 42c | 802.55$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.78 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed NIP | 76c | 766$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.07 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed NIP | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed NIP | 45c | 742.84$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.56 | 645 | 54.4%351 W · 294 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 75c | 741.12$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Heroic | 38c | 700$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Heroic | 35c | 685.05$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked NIP | 43c | 682.46$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 44c | 680$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed NIP | 45c | 660$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed NIP | 75c | 659.94$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Heroic | 32c | 632.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed NIP | 42c | 622.53$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.53 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked NIP | 61c | 602.07$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.41 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Heroic | 56c | 594.77$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.07 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 26c | 591.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Heroic | 58c | 583.53$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.45 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed NIP | 46c | 570.54$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.09 | 610 | 54.6%333 W · 277 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…7cc8backed Heroic | 59c | 551.54$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.41 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Heroic | 53c | 534.44$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked NIP | 57c | 525$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.75 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked Heroic | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Heroic | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed NIP | 68c | 502$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 77c | 500.06$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed NIP | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 391 | 45.8%179 W · 212 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed NIP | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Heroic | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NIP | 68c | 491.9$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.92 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NIP | 79c | 485$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed NIP | 43c | 464.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.04 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Heroic | 36c | 461.7$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…a009backed NIP | 45c | 460$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Heroic | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NIP | 73c | 423.9$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…797abacked Heroic | 36c | 420.24$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.