CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb15fdc5a61b6262f02a298f6734d3841e49f50abb35044e08544e7d8a5fc8037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Heroic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked NIP | 66c | 20,637$13,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020.6 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Heroic | 35c | 8,968$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.47 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked NIP | 44c | 7,486$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.25 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Heroic | 49c | 5,731$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Heroic | 56c | 5,252$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.8 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic | 36c | 4,596$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.58 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Heroic | 34c | 3,876$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.24 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP | 66c | 3,350$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.28 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed NIP | 43c | 2,278$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.76 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked NIP | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.72 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Heroic | 44c | 1,994$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.1 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…4ba8backed NIP | 54c | 1,922$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed NIP | 54c | 1,858$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.72 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Heroic | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 55c | 1,640$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.21 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic | 39c | 1,579$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.74 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 42c | 1,374$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.11 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Heroic | 47c | 1,198$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.21 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Heroic | 46c | 1,053$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.24 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…8d21backed Heroic | 45c | 870.95$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.76 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Heroic | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 37c | 795.81$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.55 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Heroic | 69c | 761.9$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.26 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Heroic | 55c | 752.1$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.47 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Heroic | 35c | 709.35$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed NIP | 36c | 700$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 40c | 679.18$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NIP | 59c | 661.22$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Heroic | 45c | 653.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Heroic | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Heroic | 51c | 589.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NIP | 59c | 582.51$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.65 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 45c | 542$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked NIP | 53c | 500$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Heroic | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed NIP | 57c | 484.05$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.36 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Heroic | 39c | 482.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Heroic | 60c | 454.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Heroic | 37c | 443$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Heroic | 14c | 399.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed NIP | 60c | 373.53$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Heroic | 48c | 359.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a04bbacked Heroic | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Heroic | 56c | 356.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Heroic | 40c | 354.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 35c | 335.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Heroic | 37c | 323$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Heroic | 46c | 315.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked NIP | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Heroic | 37c | 292.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Heroic | 28c | 282.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NIP | 53c | 279$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.16 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Heroic | 44c | 256.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed NIP | 59c | 254.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed NIP | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed NIP | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 64c | 228.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Heroic | 45c | 220.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…0118backed Heroic | 45c | 212.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed NIP | 48c | 208.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NIP | 60c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed NIP | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa91…c764backed Heroic | 54c | 197.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed NIP | 45c | 190.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 61c | 189.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cc…6193backed NIP | 48c | 181.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Heroic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked Heroic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed NIP | 58c | 173.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Heroic | 61c | 164.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Heroic | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Heroic | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked NIP | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked NIP | 65c | 147.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Heroic | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 59c | 137.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…394fbacked Heroic | 47c | 128.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Heroic | 42c | 122.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Heroic | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Heroic | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked NIP | 58c | 113.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0db2backed NIP | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Heroic | 67c | 109.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Heroic | 55c | 100.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…41a6backed NIP | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked NIP | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed NIP | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…9728backed NIP | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Heroic | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Heroic | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Heroic | 56c | 98.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Heroic | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…6a72backed NIP | 46c | 93.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Heroic | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Heroic | 57c | 86.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Heroic | 52c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed NIP | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NIP | 50c | 72.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Heroic | 66c | 71.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Heroic | 25c | 71.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.