Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8298407040e3482b1cccd28902f510c8795f47b890b29385a9aa98fd1dc0ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Struffof Bublik, Struff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Bublik | 44c | 467.46$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.68 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Struff | 51c | 282.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Struff | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Bublik | 44c | 213.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Struff | 57c | 175.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bublik | 43c | 170.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Struff | 51c | 135.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0cadbacked Bublik | 43c | 123.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Struff | 57c | 123.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Struff | 56c | 71.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Struff | 53c | 67.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…3329backed Bublik | 58c | 60.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…f428backed Struff | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Bublik | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Bublik | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Struff | 60c | 45.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Bublik | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…10fabacked Bublik | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Bublik | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Struff | 52c | 36.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Struff | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Struff | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 143 | 60.1%86 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Struff | 53c | 22.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Struff | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…9b9ebacked Bublik | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…9042backed Struff | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Bublik | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5)this page
- Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Struff vs BublikBublik won
- Struff vs. Bublik: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Struff vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.