TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$583,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$587,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Spurs46c430,878$198,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198,204.0787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks54c420,095$226,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193,243.726753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs46c70,166$32,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,388.110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Knicks54c24,658$13,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,282.7135744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Knicks55c23,315$12,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,566.528439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Knicks54c13,915$7,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,369.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs46c10,608$4,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,838.531,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks50c10,298$5,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,167.221,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks54c8,541$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.6264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks51c5,479$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.591,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks54c5,417$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.1525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Knicks54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.6340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs46c3,807$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.5855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs46c3,644$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.882,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs53c2,886$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Knicks56c2,806$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.446043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Knicks53c2,517$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.24946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks47c2,457$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.271,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks48c2,179$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.5393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Spurs54c1,960$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.45937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs45c1,936$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.4152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs46c1,613$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.9818643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs51c1,474$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.082,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…cc26backed Knicks62c1,370$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.06977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+52.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa213…6907backed Knicks55c1,145$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+140.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs42c1,100$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b2…1911backed Spurs46c1,073$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.581225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks47c1,036$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.814355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs53c1,011$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.0230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Knicks54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks53c938.58$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.132,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7294…3b5dbacked Knicks54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Spurs48c923.07$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.074050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Knicks48c873.07$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Spurs58c860$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.81346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks54c852.18$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf7…836abacked Knicks52c751.07$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.072748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Knicks54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7410548.6%51 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs45c729.42$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Spurs46c717.39$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307832.1%25 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7f…56bdbacked Knicks56c627.57$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddaf…3de6backed Knicks54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4515246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs45c522.05$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Knicks50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c68…d4f2backed Knicks54c496.46$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs51c484.08$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.121,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs44c454.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs54c453.6$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2449853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Spurs46c426.07$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9914237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd053…114cbacked Spurs47c391.49$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs46c357$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.221,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Spurs58c349.57$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20231151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs46c332.38$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Knicks32c313.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.984047.5%19 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+112.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Spurs46c263.76$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3321354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de3…26fdbacked Spurs54c257.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402520%5 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks54c242.88$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7313161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks42c234.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.91,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Knicks47c232.68$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.014151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks32c231.77$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5718140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs56c215.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2532654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Knicks47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.778641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs44c200.02$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Knicks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Knicks54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9214039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Knicks56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs68c199.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9965762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Knicks47c198$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.473735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks59c186.07$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.291,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1292…9627backed Knicks54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+141.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Knicks55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs46c178.85$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.271,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29e6…0bd1backed Spurs56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.3wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-76.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks52c176.29$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks43c174.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6727245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.41,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1d…d738backed Knicks56c167.21$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs45c155.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.71,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked Spurs47c152.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60eb…5bc2backed Spurs66c151.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+84.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Knicks52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7216547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76c0…4731backed Spurs47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847c…9ff8backed Knicks54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.151181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+53.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs58c146.01$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2225045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Knicks48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8311450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks49c132.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa854…d303backed Knicks43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs46c116.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.45349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Spurs46c115.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1841753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs50c113.82$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8625340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Knicks54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1129844%131 W · 167 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Spurs73c110$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Spurs46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs49c108.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.322753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs38c107$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5317237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.