TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x116c…e162backed Under28c10,811$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.968243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over73c9,998$7,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+111.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c9,556$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.9959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over72c4,997$3,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Over72c4,785$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3291553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Over71c3,343$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.332878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Under27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.983836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over72c2,096$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.8726645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over73c1,888$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.653246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over73c1,681$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.941,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under23c1,427$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.381,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under19c1,377$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under27c1,100$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2973452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under27c1,060$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.46553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under15c958.57$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.092853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under3c837.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.442231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over72c682.71$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.162441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-38.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over73c673.84$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.947068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over73c580.11$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.167065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under31c473.03$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.63030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under20c462.96$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9923637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9959…c137backed Under28c446.35$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under27c434.25$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2543252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under29c409.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.892941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under29c409.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.898259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Under28c334.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.774513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e57…a79abacked Under29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7480%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc11f…bd38backed Under28c300.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over72c297.57$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.845950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over72c296.95$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6515847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under6c294.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.682060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over73c270.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.921747.1%8 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Under27c265.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.724938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under28c239.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.989739.2%38 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Under12c239$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under24c221.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.783754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over73c217.65$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0910852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over73c217.65$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.095362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over73c217.65$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.097652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under29c208.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5510648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over73c201.18$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.325042%21 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over73c199.88$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.973040%12 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.941838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over72c196.64$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.064766%31 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over72c196.64$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0625659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under29c196.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.891353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x745d…e109backed Over76c194.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under14c189.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5615936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Under28c174.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.82138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.841250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Under16c148.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Under30c147.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.274027.5%11 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over71c139.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4917560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over72c138.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.823268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Over71c137.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.72147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over72c137.65$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.545358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over67c136.17$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9460748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over73c135.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.834450%22 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.398644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Over73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.391877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x056f…e487backed Over73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.391675%12 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.396163.9%39 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.395550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…5db4backed Over73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.391050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x353f…2dbebacked Over73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d9b…ca57backed Under20c134.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over73c129.94$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.085957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Under16c124.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Over80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under28c113.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.532240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over72c109.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6416553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under28c105.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.667247.2%34 W · 38 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Under28c104.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.342231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a24…36ddbacked Under16c102.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.34425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+56.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Under29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.724744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Under29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.72128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick34cpaid-83.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over76c98.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0342438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16de…2ebdbacked Over72c98.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.531573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under27c97.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4833844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under28c95.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.795752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over73c94.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.473672.2%26 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under13c92.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.713743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb94…7bc0backed Under29c85.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.792552%13 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd1f…2bd0backed Over71c83.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Over72c79.2$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.181855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under27c78.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.26547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under27c78.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under27c77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.795048%24 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under29c74.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.694924.5%12 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cd4…c292backed Under29c72.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under20c72.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4224340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.449100%9 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under28c69.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.131877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.0wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+72.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcc2e…3163backed Under28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3129…22edbacked Under28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed Over72c68.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.122166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Over73c66.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under49c64.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x572e…ac69backed Over72c63.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.891752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.