Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b3ce3d63b342caffe7b397e653c2ae0291874545db640b641486a5f3f0d089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Barcelonaof Club Atlético de Madrid, FC Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 10,852$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.54 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac19…af53backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 1,338$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe718…1cd3backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 1,300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 3c | 1,286$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd50…0848backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 1,195$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…a524backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 1,027$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…7111backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 955$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…a0fdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 910$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…1c02backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 898$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…f9eabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 893$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 888.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3485…4699backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 765$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…2defbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 764$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…2c2abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 749$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…b132backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 744$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…30d2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 742$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c7…4600backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 730$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…14cfbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 714$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…a6e7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 702$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…1857backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 702$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…7c99backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 701$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa174…8736backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 697$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…d60fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 687$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f5…60d0backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 673$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 614.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…e594backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 540$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 274.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.