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Champions League · resolved market

Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Club Atlético de Madridof FC Barcelona, Club Atlético de Madrid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x116c…e162backed FC Barcelona18c10,737$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.98243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked FC Barcelona18c4,094$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.858322.9%19 W · 64 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Club Atlético de Madrid77c3,127$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.872250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid80c3,110$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.543461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed FC Barcelona18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Club Atlético de Madrid56c2,960$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.496657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked FC Barcelona16c2,734$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.4910849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed FC Barcelona19c2,555$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.582429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…ee5abacked FC Barcelona24c2,005$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.141154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick28cpaid+75.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed FC Barcelona29c1,321$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.968638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed FC Barcelona44c1,098$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Club Atlético de Madrid78c1,075$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.851,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed FC Barcelona18c1,052$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.174429.5%13 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Club Atlético de Madrid57c1,005$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.0654239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed FC Barcelona18c960.5$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8910543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Club Atlético de Madrid77c844.95$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked FC Barcelona23c800$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed FC Barcelona23c746.45$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.688938.2%34 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Club Atlético de Madrid59c533.45$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.581275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xeabc…fa34backed FC Barcelona17c532.09$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcc…c7dabacked FC Barcelona18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.082240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed FC Barcelona18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.085928.8%17 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked FC Barcelona18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.082920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed FC Barcelona47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed FC Barcelona18c487.39$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.731520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-39.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked FC Barcelona18c463.48$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0410738.3%41 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Club Atlético de Madrid78c424.45$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.561478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed FC Barcelona18c412.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.083435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xded1…7eb0backed FC Barcelona23c412.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FC Barcelona21c411.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.411,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked FC Barcelona44c406.33$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.78650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+69.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed FC Barcelona44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed FC Barcelona24c377.7$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4823637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked FC Barcelona30c319.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.82250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef5f…b06fbacked FC Barcelona23c294.43$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked FC Barcelona18c285.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.342020%4 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae63…ebf1backed FC Barcelona17c279.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-47.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed FC Barcelona18c265.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.81812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked FC Barcelona18c264.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.541637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+105.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked FC Barcelona18c264.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.542462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7102…28b4backed FC Barcelona17c262.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.552619.2%5 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed FC Barcelona17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed FC Barcelona18c190.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2318334.4%63 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked FC Barcelona31c185.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93aa…6ac0backed FC Barcelona18c184.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid57c162.37$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.822650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Club Atlético de Madrid75c161.39$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0524940.6%101 W · 148 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d4…77c2backed FC Barcelona17c161.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb04…8b8abacked FC Barcelona18c158.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x009a…2b8ebacked FC Barcelona18c158.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aff…d174backed FC Barcelona18c158.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ef…26adbacked FC Barcelona19c144.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x614c…85f9backed FC Barcelona33c139.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.07714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FC Barcelona22c131.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1814220.4%29 W · 113 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked FC Barcelona30c127.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.321526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…435fbacked FC Barcelona19c125.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.791457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+55.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked FC Barcelona19c123.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.663420.6%7 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-53.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x687a…4e6bbacked FC Barcelona17c117.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2837…e9fabacked FC Barcelona18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.02520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-58.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fc…41dfbacked FC Barcelona18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.021050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda59…d01cbacked FC Barcelona18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.022123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed FC Barcelona29c104.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.26100%0 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed FC Barcelona20c102.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.953237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked FC Barcelona15c98.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.549442.6%40 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90f…a443backed Club Atlético de Madrid78c98.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Club Atlético de Madrid57c97.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8910148.5%49 W · 52 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe82c…cc70backed FC Barcelona20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.041241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e1…14a0backed FC Barcelona18c89.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x449f…f386backed FC Barcelona28c89.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5440%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79a…6112backed FC Barcelona17c89.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FC Barcelona40c83.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5716248.1%78 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c7…5eb1backed FC Barcelona17c82.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe36e…ad3abacked FC Barcelona18c77.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+99.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f34…1a46backed FC Barcelona19c75.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ef…4a8ebacked FC Barcelona23c72.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed FC Barcelona18c68.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6560%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ead…14f8backed Club Atlético de Madrid75c65.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Atlético de Madrid63c60.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.231,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb7…5b8cbacked FC Barcelona17c59.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-61%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5229…c302backed FC Barcelona19c59.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked FC Barcelona23c58.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.351330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcb…920bbacked FC Barcelona34c55.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid78c50.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.131376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Club Atlético de Madrid80c48.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.815042%63 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed FC Barcelona32c48.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2428450%142 W · 142 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c1…ab1ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid78c44.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Club Atlético de Madrid75c39.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.857851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Club Atlético de Madrid77c31.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2615936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Club Atlético de Madrid76c28.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.885550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9114736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid78c13.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.922142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.