Champions League · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x310f74a93780a5ebb85ed886187c04debd53f36ed1005686a4af08b27d80a163
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 10c | 5,471$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.98 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 11c | 4,607$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.18 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 10c | 4,484$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.11 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Under | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 7c | 2,945$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 11c | 1,886$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.44 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 3c | 1,782$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Under | 10c | 999.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Under | 11c | 661.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 10c | 645.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 10c | 629.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Under | 12c | 554.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Under | 3c | 525.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 10c | 515.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Under | 12c | 347.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 4c | 310.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 10c | 298.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 10c | 232.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 11c | 215.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Under | 14c | 204.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…d98abacked Under | 12c | 177.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 8c | 153.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Under | 9c | 148.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Under | 11c | 141.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…ebcebacked Under | 11c | 126.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…36ddbacked Under | 11c | 102.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 11c | 102.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…94c4backed Under | 11c | 91.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.