NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc2c66a4b929b60ae11d2783ea10e25ccc7ed90a2f9287021599480b89abe34c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,080,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,020,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,080,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 10c | 142,585$14,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,783.28 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Wizards | 10c | 100,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wizards | 12c | 50,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Wizards | 22c | 45,234$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards | 10c | 34,221$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.05 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 10c | 24,735$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.36 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 13c | 22,960$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.5 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf287…74f3backed Wizards | 0c | 17,962$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Wizards | 10c | 15,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 29c | 14,268$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.32 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 10c | 13,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 73c | 12,180$8,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.33 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Wizards | 9c | 11,441$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.7 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 11c | 11,370$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.75 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Cavaliers | 67c | 11,095$7,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.33 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…7f84backed Wizards | 12c | 10,997$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 27c | 10,832$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.9 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 9c | 8,192$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.01 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 9c | 8,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Wizards | 10c | 6,981$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.14 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Wizards | 25c | 6,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Wizards | 19c | 5,860$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.32 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 66c | 5,310$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 11c | 5,193$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Wizards | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 12c | 4,826$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.92 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Wizards | 12c | 4,623$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.41 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Wizards | 16c | 4,525$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.69 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Wizards | 9c | 4,484$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.58 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Wizards | 11c | 4,222$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 79c | 4,114$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.78 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards | 10c | 4,099$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.9 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 3,853$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.38 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Wizards | 55c | 3,670$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.83 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Wizards | 11c | 3,605$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.9 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…ffd6backed Wizards | 14c | 3,570$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Wizards | 4c | 3,525$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.73 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Wizards | 16c | 3,000$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.96 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Wizards | 11c | 2,920$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Wizards | 62c | 2,821$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.59 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…245ebacked Wizards | 11c | 2,800$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards | 23c | 2,763$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.7 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 35c | 2,699$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.11 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Wizards | 35c | 2,687$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.21 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…2ed5backed Cavaliers | 78c | 2,600$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wizards | 11c | 2,456$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…a951backed Wizards | 11c | 2,300$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 16c | 2,206$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Wizards | 24c | 2,124$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.81 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Wizards | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 63c | 2,074$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.88 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wizards | 16c | 2,025$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.9 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wizards | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…4d3cbacked Wizards | 12c | 1,900$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb951…90a1backed Wizards | 15c | 1,888$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers | 59c | 1,847$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.26 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 1,804$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.43 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Wizards | 12c | 1,647$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.66 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…3156backed Wizards | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Wizards | 37c | 1,539$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.29 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,508$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.16 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards | 11c | 1,502$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…7ac0backed Wizards | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wizards | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Wizards | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wizards | 18c | 1,464$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.82 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fdcebacked Wizards | 11c | 1,455$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c537backed Wizards | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…d7cabacked Wizards | 13c | 1,396$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 10c | 1,375$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 1,338$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.88 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…3a5dbacked Wizards | 14c | 1,287$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,275$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…52b2backed Wizards | 11c | 1,227$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 24c | 1,225$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.43 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Wizards | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadab…aecdbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Wizards | 11c | 1,199$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed Wizards | 70c | 1,107$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wizards | 14c | 1,084$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…8618backed Wizards | 11c | 1,075$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 2c | 1,050$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…3518backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,020$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Wizards | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a1…9838backed Cavaliers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Wizards | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…4b1fbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Wizards | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…a704backed Wizards | 12c | 999.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…8941backed Wizards | 4c | 978.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Wizards | 12c | 968.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…161bbacked Wizards | 11c | 957$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.