TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Cavaliers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Wizards50c50,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,00038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cavaliers50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50026753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers50c13,810$6,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,905.131,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Wizards44c8,120$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,547.220542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Wizards48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.9385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Cavaliers54c5,519$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.0119351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers55c5,004$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.3166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Cavaliers50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Wizards46c4,900$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6701,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Cavaliers54c4,630$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards46c4,433$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers50c3,458$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7294,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers54c3,236$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Cavaliers53c3,100$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6433540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Cavaliers53c2,132$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1308347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers52c1,288$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.7241553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Cavaliers52c981.85$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5651753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Cavaliers51c941.18$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4806654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers53c880.15$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.482,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Cavaliers50c830.5$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2579549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Cavaliers51c703.92$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35935651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Wizards46c523.14$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.0752643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers51c503.58$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Wizards50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Cavaliers51c496.33$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.1311946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Cavaliers52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.622836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x694c…2546backed Cavaliers55c470.45$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers51c421.57$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Wizards47c420$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7544648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Cavaliers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Cavaliers53c355.65$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4947748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers40c299.5$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.52,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Wizards44c229.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.211,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Cavaliers60c215.65$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.395655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Wizards50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Cavaliers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018656.5%105 W · 81 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Cavaliers51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10226150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…8f5ebacked Wizards59c190$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc2…8416backed Cavaliers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards48c182$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.362,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…6438backed Wizards61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards40c144.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.872,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Wizards50c142.46$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.282,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Wizards50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7023547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Cavaliers52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012550.4%63 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Wizards58c103.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.533056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Cavaliers53c99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.721,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Wizards43c98.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5617658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df4…d9bdbacked Cavaliers51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Cavaliers57c96.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Cavaliers54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Wizards47c81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.934757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Wizards50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4048451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Wizards45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4452242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0356…5273backed Wizards50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Wizards45c79.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3363745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Cavaliers51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a3…d89bbacked Cavaliers52c78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.569354.8%51 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Cavaliers54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013449.3%66 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9324…7e95backed Wizards48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.925641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f7…3ea6backed Wizards50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Wizards50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3547948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Wizards46c69.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.824454.1%132 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b0e…7e25backed Wizards45c68.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.513647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Cavaliers51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Cavaliers51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Wizards45c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4418357.4%105 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Wizards47c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.626952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…97dfbacked Cavaliers53c50.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716253.1%86 W · 76 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Cavaliers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Cavaliers56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2818554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Wizards48c47.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4531151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca7…1cb5backed Cavaliers57c47.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfd…0427backed Cavaliers51c47.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe224…2e1dbacked Wizards50c46.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Cavaliers55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513456.7%76 W · 58 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Wizards49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95949.2%29 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Wizards50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Cavaliers53c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.673447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Cavaliers54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x833e…f756backed Cavaliers54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb34…93a5backed Cavaliers54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Wizards45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.553951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Wizards57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.99458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe278…58b0backed Cavaliers51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Cavaliers53c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.314052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Cavaliers53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.253956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1a…ad50backed Cavaliers53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.131442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Wizards50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Cavaliers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.