NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe872309730022a683cc791d8b32d0af6b4aade081155de2e2d1d2dc55b9ac502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b5…8447backed Over | 54c | 12,043$6,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,553.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…7c74backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…b256backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 9,604$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 52c | 4,965$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 3,852$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.92 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…513abacked Over | 52c | 3,050$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.75 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 53c | 938$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.61 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 52c | 882$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.36 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 869.6$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.7 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 54c | 711.83$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.44 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Over | 59c | 682.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Over | 49c | 659.84$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.52 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 640$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Under | 54c | 553.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 50c | 430.8$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.4 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 49c | 395.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.77 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Under | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 156$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 46c | 114.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 112$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 100.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Under | 51c | 96.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…5108backed Under | 51c | 94.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 45c | 84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 49c | 69.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 68.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Over | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 45c | 35.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 46c | 22.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Cavaliers vs. WizardsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.