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Tennis · resolved market

Nottingham Open: McCartney Kessler vs Katie Volynets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Katie Volynetsof McCartney Kessler, Katie Volynets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6c3…600fbacked McCartney Kessler57c23,031$13,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,062.171118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick56cpaid-69.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Katie Volynets46c20,116$9,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,863.017337%27 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Katie Volynets45c15,893$7,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,688.014,40752.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L+66.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed McCartney Kessler55c10,909$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00038647.4%183 W · 203 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Katie Volynets44c7,717$3,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,321.0656651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed McCartney Kessler31c7,496$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.748,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked McCartney Kessler54c6,073$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.5394640.6%384 W · 562 L-31.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Katie Volynets69c5,614$3,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.024,30545%1,939 W · 2,366 L+20.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Katie Volynets43c3,419$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.679136%285 W · 506 L+36.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Katie Volynets44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68016825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked McCartney Kessler38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1828039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6c…d56cbacked McCartney Kessler29c1,737$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50124451.6%126 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed McCartney Kessler54c1,572$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.221,89544.9%851 W · 1,044 L+38.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed McCartney Kessler54c1,556$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.854,64767.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L+308.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed McCartney Kessler44c1,288$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57240844.4%181 W · 227 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed McCartney Kessler54c1,110$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.183,75245.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked McCartney Kessler54c1,038$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.291,89345.9%868 W · 1,025 L+53.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cd…841dbacked McCartney Kessler10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010122.8%23 W · 78 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed McCartney Kessler43c910.24$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3907550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed McCartney Kessler49c899.3$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.661,16541.5%483 W · 682 L+25.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Katie Volynets45c855.73$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.662,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Katie Volynets47c836.98$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.852,92539.6%1,158 W · 1,767 L-85.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked McCartney Kessler54c833.61$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.1587251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Katie Volynets52c823.28$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.049,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Katie Volynets50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40038745.2%175 W · 212 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked McCartney Kessler25c741.92$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Katie Volynets74c692.88$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0811,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Katie Volynets45c663.62$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.991,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed McCartney Kessler50c657.37$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.6911149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Katie Volynets43c619.75$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.262,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Katie Volynets43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3427,15739.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L-9.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katie Volynets58c518.12$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.278,92142.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L-169.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked McCartney Kessler26c505.16$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.781,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked McCartney Kessler34c499.68$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.831,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked McCartney Kessler51c450$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23012258.2%71 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked McCartney Kessler5c428.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Katie Volynets71c399.84$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.29058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed McCartney Kessler38c376.16$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.321,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3eeb…3300backed McCartney Kessler54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Katie Volynets65c337.39$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.735,48656.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L+232.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked McCartney Kessler49c296.78$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.330235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed Katie Volynets53c284.91$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9120764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Katie Volynets51c249.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.371,02357.9%592 W · 431 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Katie Volynets50c249.6$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.641054.4%223 W · 187 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Katie Volynets56c227$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8810656.6%60 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Katie Volynets46c218.85$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1833955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked McCartney Kessler50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058145.8%266 W · 315 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed McCartney Kessler54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082,29642.9%984 W · 1,312 L+37.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Katie Volynets69c198.27$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.526,70050.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L+267.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked McCartney Kessler51c194$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9498044.7%438 W · 542 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Katie Volynets52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3169253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked McCartney Kessler6c189.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.913208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Katie Volynets55c189.12$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191059.6%542 W · 368 L+1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked McCartney Kessler49c187.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9230547.5%145 W · 160 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5997…5448backed McCartney Kessler54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c5…610fbacked McCartney Kessler54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed McCartney Kessler56c175.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.251,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Katie Volynets47c170.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1913243.9%58 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Katie Volynets59c167.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.711,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Katie Volynets43c162$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.342,25537.1%836 W · 1,419 L+43.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Katie Volynets45c122.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1943158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Katie Volynets51c110.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3578552.9%415 W · 370 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Katie Volynets46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked McCartney Kessler49c108$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.921,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Katie Volynets55c106.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4924054.6%131 W · 109 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed McCartney Kessler53c105.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.035,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked McCartney Kessler53c104.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.510447.1%49 W · 55 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked McCartney Kessler29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014813.5%20 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Katie Volynets45c102.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3933152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Katie Volynets45c99.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.991,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Katie Volynets73c98.82$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4422544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked McCartney Kessler28c91.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.941,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed McCartney Kessler51c89.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8246452.4%243 W · 221 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Katie Volynets43c89.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.841,59942.3%676 W · 923 L+19.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed McCartney Kessler31c89.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.962,88247.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L+39.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked McCartney Kessler41c87.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Katie Volynets43c87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.591,00449.5%497 W · 507 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82e2…ec75backed McCartney Kessler53c81.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.294526.7%12 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6332…4576backed McCartney Kessler54c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.58165.4%53 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Katie Volynets47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471,20752.4%633 W · 574 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Katie Volynets68c73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.461,91759.3%1,136 W · 781 L+3.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed McCartney Kessler45c69.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.766,89848.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L+61.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed McCartney Kessler46c69.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.131,83353%971 W · 862 L-45.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Katie Volynets60c66.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.199232.6%30 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Katie Volynets45c66.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.161435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed McCartney Kessler47c62.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2615261.8%94 W · 58 L+12.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed McCartney Kessler49c62.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.452,45151.7%1,268 W · 1,183 L+11.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Katie Volynets50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015060%90 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Katie Volynets44c56.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.841,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Katie Volynets72c55.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611,32464.7%857 W · 467 L+6.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb7…4736backed McCartney Kessler56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014949%73 W · 76 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33e5…1c91backed McCartney Kessler56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023851.7%123 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Katie Volynets50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2646453%246 W · 218 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7734…4193backed McCartney Kessler57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked McCartney Kessler54c48.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.318,12750.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L+84.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d7…d729backed Katie Volynets50c45.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.64333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Katie Volynets45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.752,57136.4%937 W · 1,634 L-21.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7faf…e2b5backed McCartney Kessler33c40.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3320552.7%108 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed McCartney Kessler50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207561.3%46 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Katie Volynets65c38.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.521,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.