MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc10b26ee3086b33ea3eefffb256983c37300b75c8bf25843fe3dd29f7a39e5db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Texas Rangers, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 50,633$31,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,383.33 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 47,957$20,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,442.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 35,000$18,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,450 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 20,041$7,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,815.43 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,518.52 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 17,336$6,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,424.84 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 17,056$10,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,186.41 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Texas Rangers | 14c | 14,776$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 13,829$7,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,445.32 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Texas Rangers | 8c | 13,349$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.45 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 12,600$6,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,047.91 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 11,164$5,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,245.77 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 29c | 9,067$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 8,547$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 8,477$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.95 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 7,777$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.42 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 7,498$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.94 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 7,240$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.16 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 6,984$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.29 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 6,743$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 6,329$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.06 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 5,235$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.89 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 5,063$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.68 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 5,012$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Boston Red Sox | 79c | 4,891$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.11 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 4,592$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.12 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 4,108$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 3,797$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.01 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 3,630$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.03 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 3,062$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.36 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,268$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.78 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 2,238$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 2,214$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.08 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 2,197$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.08 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc7…389dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 1,945$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.08 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 1,944$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.98 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,907$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.74 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 1,586$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.67 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 1,566$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.98 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,556$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.72 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,513$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.23 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,481$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.21 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 1,448$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.72 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 1,351$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.33 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.94 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,152$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.96 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 1,022$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 914.63$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.51 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 829.31$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.9 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 777$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.03 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 768.74$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.85 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 763.75$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 707.94$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.73 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 679.24$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.24 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 615.7$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.64 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 563.11$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.66 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 521$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.66 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Texas Rangers | 6c | 486.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 475$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 472.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.92 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 447.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 447.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 423.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 421.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Boston Red Sox | 79c | 377.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 371.1$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.23 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Texas Rangers | 11c | 370$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 362.9$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 355.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.15 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 339.09$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b3…9675backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 314.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 310$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 289.43$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 289$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 276.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 274.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 255.42$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 224.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 215$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 214.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 214$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 213.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 209.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 207.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 204.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 201.7$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.