NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe730c4c1ce6525e43479041f314393949b39dac2df02db2391a90e410e87a3b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Blackhawks | 1c | 9,443$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Blue Jackets | 36c | 6,767$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.85 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Blackhawks | 65c | 4,638$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Blackhawks | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 3,000$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 2,681$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.08 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 2,033$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.61 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 1,117$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.88 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Blackhawks | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.92 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.03 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 785.52$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.59 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Blackhawks | 64c | 780$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Blue Jackets | 36c | 675.69$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.91 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Blackhawks | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blackhawks | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 52c | 494.34$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Blackhawks | 64c | 484.38$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Blackhawks | 64c | 406.36$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.07 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…6cfabacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 406$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Blackhawks | 19c | 386.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Blackhawks | 64c | 310.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blackhawks | 64c | 228$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 222.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 198.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blackhawks | 25c | 168.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Blackhawks | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 133.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Blackhawks | 64c | 94.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 92.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 88.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Blackhawks | 55c | 85.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 84.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Blackhawks | 66c | 76.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 67.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blackhawks | 64c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 43.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Blackhawks | 64c | 42.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Blue Jackets | 36c | 32.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3b15backed Blackhawks | 64c | 31.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Blue Jackets | 34c | 30.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Blue Jackets | 56c | 30.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +67%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Blue Jackets | 43c | 27.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 24.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Blackhawks | 64c | 19.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…d4e3backed Blackhawks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24d…b7bdbacked Blackhawks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. BlackhawksBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.