Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8370a2d2f66036faf8844965fae425601c590b02602f6f348ce280bae7285ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 49c | 974.44$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.71 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 862.37$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.17 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 9c | 530.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.68 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…411abacked No | 53c | 517.21$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 468.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.14 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed No | 9c | 432.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 13c | 414.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.34 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 25c | 387.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.95 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 24c | 381.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.92 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 356.45$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.68 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 344.67$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 24c | 300.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.49 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 28c | 297.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.39 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 27c | 294.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.77 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…25e8backed No | 8c | 286.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 19c | 286.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.19 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 55c | 268.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5ba7backed Yes | 17c | 264.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…c08ebacked Yes | 23c | 241.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 69c | 224.64$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 29c | 218.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…b00dbacked Yes | 27c | 207.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed Yes | 17c | 199.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 164 | 12.2%20 W · 144 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe951…ea77backed No | 59c | 197.06$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9115…f59cbacked No | 55c | 192.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…4947backed No | 10c | 191.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 19c | 180$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…e2bcbacked Yes | 23c | 174.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 51c | 169.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 45c | 165.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 22c | 161.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 57c | 156.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…d478backed No | 73c | 154.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 24c | 147.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…e0f1backed Yes | 17c | 146.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked Yes | 67c | 143.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…659dbacked No | 68c | 143.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…87bdbacked Yes | 68c | 142.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…48ccbacked No | 12c | 138.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 23c | 136.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 19c | 132.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…3b2ebacked Yes | 22c | 128.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed No | 80c | 123.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 21c | 122.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…917ebacked No | 77c | 122.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…4512backed Yes | 27c | 113.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 111.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed Yes | 21c | 109.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 106.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…4199backed Yes | 20c | 105.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 92 | 73.9%68 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…b7a3backed Yes | 26c | 103.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…d2f6backed Yes | 18c | 100.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…6e4ebacked Yes | 35c | 100.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…b5b1backed Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 211 | 31.8%67 W · 144 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 25c | 99.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 29c | 98.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 97.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 33c | 96.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…9f22backed Yes | 17c | 95.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 77c | 95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 20c | 93.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 40c | 93.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 18c | 91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 24c | 90.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 71c | 89.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 73c | 88.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 20c | 88.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Yes | 14c | 85.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 18c | 83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 20c | 82.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 20c | 82.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…92aebacked Yes | 23c | 77.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed No | 74c | 77.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 32c | 76.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…393dbacked Yes | 48c | 75.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 27c | 75.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Yes | 30c | 74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 74c | 72.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…16a5backed Yes | 26c | 70.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe58a…e8b4backed Yes | 21c | 70.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 27c | 69.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked Yes | 21c | 68.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 25c | 66.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 61c | 63.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 21c | 60.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 59.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3c3abacked No | 17c | 59.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…9dd0backed Yes | 49c | 57.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec2…8988backed Yes | 65c | 57.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…e886backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 28c | 55.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 75c | 51.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 50.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.