Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77d5b3ef4fe5c81cd166106063fb0aee4fd29f7ecc0dbf500b4f7dba7f9820b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 1c | 12,696$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,301$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.63 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…f177backed No | 37c | 1,028$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 77c | 970.1$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.65 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 26c | 892.94$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.51 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 58c | 564.08$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.84 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed No | 59c | 545.05$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.7 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 42c | 520.52$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 518.66$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 17c | 509.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.43 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 67c | 419.37$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.38 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 57c | 403.92$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 29c | 379.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 351.06$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe951…ea77backed Yes | 50c | 338.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…9df3backed Yes | 56c | 317.26$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.38 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 18c | 315.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.97 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 67c | 313.4$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 74c | 291.36$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.61 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 34c | 291.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 24c | 274.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.69 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 24c | 268.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 30c | 259.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.29 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 32c | 251.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.07 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…e79fbacked No | 28c | 247.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 76c | 247.59$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.47 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 38c | 233.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 64c | 232.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 59c | 225.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked No | 27c | 216.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 74c | 215.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 72c | 210.71$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 69c | 203.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 28c | 201.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…7422backed Yes | 65c | 199.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…add7backed No | 23c | 191.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 69c | 187.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 79c | 186.91$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…6770backed No | 32c | 183.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 74c | 164.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked No | 28c | 155.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 74c | 151.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked Yes | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 67c | 145$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 79c | 139.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Yes | 70c | 138.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 41c | 138$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 48c | 134.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed No | 28c | 129.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 64c | 128.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed No | 14c | 127.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 74c | 125.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 65c | 121.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 120.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 67c | 120.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…4199backed Yes | 64c | 110$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 92 | 73.9%68 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…22d6backed Yes | 74c | 109.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 70c | 104.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a4…acf1backed No | 40c | 103.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…16a5backed Yes | 66c | 102.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 64c | 101.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…1fefbacked Yes | 74c | 100.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…66aabacked Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 19c | 99.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…6e4ebacked Yes | 65c | 99.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 68c | 99.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…9dd0backed No | 14c | 99.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 65c | 98.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…a682backed Yes | 36c | 97.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…e43ebacked No | 49c | 94.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 180 | 60%108 W · 72 L | -21.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked No | 31c | 91.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…e1e6backed Yes | 73c | 87.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked No | 25c | 86.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b79ebacked No | 28c | 84.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 34c | 82.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4b…4fe3backed Yes | 60c | 79.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 58c | 78.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 43c | 77.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…6e6abacked Yes | 76c | 75.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…7175backed Yes | 79c | 75.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…b96cbacked No | 27c | 75.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +88%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 40c | 74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…dd39backed Yes | 59c | 69.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…480bbacked No | 30c | 68.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 70c | 68.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…8ac5backed Yes | 30c | 67.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…bd82backed No | 25c | 67.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 74c | 67.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 19c | 67.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…d0d0backed No | 73c | 66.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 113 | 69.9%79 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…e544backed Yes | 58c | 66.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…bafbbacked Yes | 34c | 66.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccb…e335backed No | 77c | 63.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…e7a4backed Yes | 61c | 62.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.