NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d88ebbea074e7a6ea9fe600187a3e82ebb797884783707bb312061e571b9b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $955,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $955,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Hornets | 0c | 74,716$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets | 2c | 45,433$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.81 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hornets | 19c | 38,456$7,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,306.66 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Nuggets | 79c | 32,102$25,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,717.63 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hornets | 3c | 24,520$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.37 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Hornets | 11c | 24,101$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.66 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hornets | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets | 0c | 19,474$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 18c | 19,062$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.72 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Nuggets | 78c | 18,010$14,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.59 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Hornets | 22c | 15,140$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Hornets | 33c | 15,065$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.13 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 12c | 13,264$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 18c | 11,441$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.67 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 79c | 10,494$8,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Hornets | 22c | 9,149$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Hornets | 17c | 8,574$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.3 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Hornets | 17c | 8,226$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.09 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Hornets | 18c | 8,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…308cbacked Nuggets | 79c | 7,562$5,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.8 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Nuggets | 76c | 6,681$5,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 19c | 6,160$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.48 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hornets | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…8015backed Hornets | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8a09backed Hornets | 17c | 5,982$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.56 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hornets | 25c | 5,568$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.39 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Hornets | 16c | 5,496$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.33 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Hornets | 0c | 5,101$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Hornets | 8c | 5,080$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…4418backed Hornets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Hornets | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Hornets | 28c | 4,812$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.08 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 18c | 4,539$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 78c | 3,585$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.31 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ee…344bbacked Hornets | 19c | 3,500$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hornets | 19c | 3,189$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.19 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Hornets | 4c | 3,188$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets | 23c | 3,109$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.11 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…06c5backed Hornets | 18c | 2,915$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets | 25c | 2,780$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.26 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hornets | 18c | 2,595$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.07 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 16c | 2,545$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Hornets | 29c | 2,439$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Hornets | 33c | 2,116$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Hornets | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Hornets | 17c | 2,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.15 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Hornets | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Hornets | 19c | 1,853$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.07 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Hornets | 18c | 1,851$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.91 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Hornets | 19c | 1,760$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.22 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Hornets | 21c | 1,749$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.94 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 12c | 1,735$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e3…1951backed Nuggets | 80c | 1,600$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b18…84f7backed Hornets | 20c | 1,600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…2a2ebacked Hornets | 3c | 1,550$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Hornets | 12c | 1,541$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…0faabacked Nuggets | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…7ac0backed Hornets | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Hornets | 21c | 1,436$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.52 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…5fafbacked Hornets | 19c | 1,420$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…0536backed Nuggets | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Hornets | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Hornets | 19c | 1,320$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 30c | 1,306$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Hornets | 22c | 1,294$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.98 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets | 24c | 1,257$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.75 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Nuggets | 75c | 1,255$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.33 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Hornets | 17c | 1,226$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 1,221$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…3239backed Hornets | 4c | 1,208$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a2dbacked Nuggets | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…fa9bbacked Nuggets | 79c | 1,200$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Hornets | 18c | 1,200$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Hornets | 3c | 1,163$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 2c | 1,150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Hornets | 36c | 1,086$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Hornets | 16c | 1,000$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Hornets | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Hornets | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Nuggets | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Hornets | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hornets | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Hornets | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Hornets | 29c | 941.75$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Hornets | 16c | 876.65$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Hornets | 18c | 841.84$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Hornets | 18c | 840.33$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae8…b7d8backed Nuggets | 77c | 750$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Hornets | 19c | 727$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Nuggets | 73c | 686.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…af61backed Nuggets | 80c | 679.92$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…0550backed Hornets | 19c | 677.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Nuggets | 76c | 659.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Hornets | 18c | 636.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Jamal Murray: Points Over 23.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.