NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3de73ed45e0d6844d5133d3b7d1deb31fa827baedaf5421878b83c1e7680a704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Nuggets, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $683,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $683,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $683,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Hornets | 52c | 363,985$188,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,329.07 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 48c | 85,431$41,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,268.32 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Nuggets | 48c | 56,550$27,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,144 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 48c | 55,000$26,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,400 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Nuggets | 51c | 53,446$27,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,257.26 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Nuggets | 48c | 49,485$23,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,752.89 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nuggets | 49c | 40,927$19,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,987.7 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Hornets | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.98 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Nuggets | 48c | 24,948$11,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,975.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 24,428$11,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,846.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 48c | 20,070$9,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,733.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Hornets | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 49c | 19,700$9,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,653 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets | 49c | 13,662$6,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,694.54 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 49c | 12,124$5,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,932.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 11,257$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.72 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab8…a34fbacked Hornets | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Hornets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…d5b3backed Hornets | 49c | 9,796$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,590$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.89 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Nuggets | 51c | 7,369$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,758.2 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hornets | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 51c | 5,096$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.96 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Hornets | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Hornets | 49c | 4,420$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.45 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,632$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.36 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 46c | 3,261$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…a087backed Hornets | 49c | 3,040$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,825$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.25 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,807$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.54 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,907$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets | 50c | 1,837$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.57 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,614$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.35 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Nuggets | 44c | 1,551$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.17 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,239$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.6 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,219$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.41 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,167$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.72 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,145$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.6 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Hornets | 49c | 1,083$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.33 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hornets | 52c | 1,016$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,009$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.61 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Nuggets | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 952.47$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.66 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Nuggets | 50c | 792.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hornets | 55c | 773.28$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.38 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 48c | 770.11$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 52c | 705$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.93 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 48c | 627$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 591$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets | 42c | 585$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.09 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Hornets | 51c | 580$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Hornets | 50c | 559.92$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.56 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 554.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nuggets | 13c | 550$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Nuggets | 51c | 510$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Nuggets | 44c | 500.94$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.94 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Hornets | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed Hornets | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Nuggets | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Hornets | 54c | 462.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nuggets | 53c | 426.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…2854backed Nuggets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Nuggets | 50c | 401.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…66b2backed Nuggets | 51c | 390.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Hornets | 60c | 345$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Nuggets | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Nuggets | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Hornets | 42c | 264.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.15 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 246.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Hornets | 52c | 244.71$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Nuggets | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Hornets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Nuggets | 48c | 197$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Nuggets | 50c | 196.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Nuggets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…bffcbacked Hornets | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Hornets | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…972bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 158.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Hornets | 50c | 151$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hornets | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Nuggets | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 128.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Nuggets | 48c | 128$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Nuggets | 48c | 128$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 127.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…be4abacked Nuggets | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 48c | 124.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 121.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Nuggets | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Jamal Murray: Points Over 23.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. HornetsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.