Venezuela · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb06e28beed915db6edccde38315890cfe45ea9e5225c66b2b4955d196952033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked No | 11c | 8,500$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0e…1f6cbacked No | 33c | 3,472$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 67c | 2,222$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 77c | 1,288$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 34c | 1,017$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.52 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 22c | 924.05$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…3d94backed No | 2c | 865.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 30c | 850.84$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 68c | 830.2$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61aa…e222backed No | 2c | 781.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 77c | 663.61$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…1d63backed No | 32c | 613.95$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked No | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 68c | 590$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed No | 32c | 542$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb33c…4ac3backed Yes | 64c | 513.69$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 31c | 505.73$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…0047backed Yes | 69c | 501.76$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…5d6dbacked Yes | 64c | 499.98$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…c25bbacked Yes | 68c | 490$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 19c | 473.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 30c | 441.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 67c | 375$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 23c | 349.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed Yes | 65c | 338.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…c60bbacked No | 35c | 285.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…4353backed Yes | 71c | 270.89$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…b099backed No | 39c | 259.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked Yes | 78c | 256.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 18c | 243.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…8349backed Yes | 72c | 227.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed No | 11c | 220.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked No | 24c | 219.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…ea17backed No | 49c | 205.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 7c | 188.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 14c | 180$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…cf68backed Yes | 70c | 175.29$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 78c | 161.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…572abacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…cc49backed Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…e0b2backed Yes | 69c | 145.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…d5f9backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…9281backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…1d61backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 75c | 122.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed No | 33c | 121.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…bef4backed No | 34c | 118.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 28c | 104.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…25adbacked Yes | 61c | 96.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66e…61d9backed No | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked No | 31c | 94.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 28c | 93.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…5452backed No | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…0f33backed Yes | 74c | 83.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc858…d6dabacked No | 15c | 80.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x577f…3765backed No | 32c | 79.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…ff87backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…45ecbacked No | 20c | 70.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…0997backed No | 48c | 68.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 23c | 68.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8c…a00bbacked Yes | 72c | 55.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606c…92f8backed No | 39c | 51.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked No | 39c | 51.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd062…7929backed Yes | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…9f16backed No | 31c | 44.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 64c | 41.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…8052backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…23dfbacked No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…cf90backed Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed No | 40c | 39.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f28…e9f3backed No | 37c | 39.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d5…a9ccbacked Yes | 76c | 31.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83b…6c54backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…9344backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…2f93backed Yes | 71c | 29.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…4323backed No | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 39c | 25.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 63c | 23.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Yes | 80c | 22.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…3ae6backed Yes | 70c | 21.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.