Us Politics · resolved market
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec05c24e569aca2bdd5d6e948f7810e1b4449cb98433c0e34bc8c4baa1df3ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,921,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,161,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,921,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked No | 0c | 1,024,509$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed No | 0c | 510,000$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…ab26backed No | 0c | 342,810$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…9f7ebacked No | 0c | 334,722$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…c10fbacked No | 0c | 214,431$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…b9bebacked No | 1c | 200,527$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…d46bbacked No | 1c | 194,219$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…d2d8backed No | 0c | 181,153$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 0c | 180,877$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.63 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…7768backed No | 0c | 162,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9099backed No | 0c | 156,610$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…6701backed No | 0c | 156,154$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 0c | 155,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…b143backed No | 0c | 150,155$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…3f79backed No | 0c | 146,155$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed No | 0c | 130,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca3…5a7cbacked No | 0c | 113,180$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…0300backed No | 0c | 100,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…de72backed No | 1c | 93,606$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…0cdebacked No | 0c | 87,448$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb9…edc4backed No | 0c | 78,791$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d5…3ba6backed No | 0c | 68,178$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.01 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff5…9711backed No | 0c | 66,070$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc6…603cbacked No | 0c | 59,160$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked No | 0c | 57,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 14c | 55,341$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.56 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…3b74backed No | 0c | 42,667$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…175cbacked No | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf354…5c13backed No | 0c | 39,083$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7508…f789backed No | 0c | 38,930$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…bb84backed No | 0c | 31,547$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…8d10backed No | 0c | 30,032$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed No | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 0c | 30,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7c…650fbacked No | 0c | 29,878$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e91…42e5backed No | 0c | 28,500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…c1bfbacked No | 0c | 27,490$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…05d1backed No | 0c | 26,723$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed No | 0c | 25,090$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…f15bbacked No | 0c | 24,990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…1cafbacked No | 0c | 24,167$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…71aabacked No | 1c | 23,094$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…bd37backed No | 0c | 22,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 0c | 21,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed No | 10c | 20,786$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…e10abacked No | 1c | 20,326$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6608…4d0cbacked No | 0c | 20,039$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…bd5dbacked No | 0c | 20,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…4079backed No | 0c | 19,993$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…101ebacked No | 0c | 18,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 46c | 17,863$8,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,226.42 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7145…89e6backed No | 0c | 17,182$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x673b…4590backed No | 1c | 16,500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…6b15backed No | 0c | 16,440$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…109fbacked No | 0c | 15,750$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 1c | 15,240$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…1fedbacked No | 1c | 15,189$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…166bbacked No | 0c | 15,084$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked No | 78c | 14,238$11,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,089 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 61c | 13,445$8,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,204.83 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…d5b0backed No | 0c | 12,950$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb12…93f7backed No | 1c | 12,689$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed No | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…d4b1backed No | 0c | 12,425$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed No | 5c | 12,226$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.2 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed No | 1c | 12,163$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…2aa3backed No | 0c | 11,625$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…6588backed No | 0c | 11,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7928…d566backed No | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…8c68backed No | 0c | 10,633$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed No | 0c | 10,620$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…1c77backed No | 0c | 10,228$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ae…0d93backed No | 0c | 10,184$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed No | 3c | 10,153$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.02 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…622dbacked No | 0c | 10,130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…3583backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…8cd3backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 60c | 9,892$5,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.76 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…ec7dbacked No | 0c | 9,718$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…3dc9backed No | 0c | 9,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 0c | 9,397$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…630cbacked No | 0c | 9,085$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…a50abacked No | 0c | 8,450$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed No | 64c | 7,822$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed Yes | 35c | 7,649$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,991.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…8d6abacked No | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…d8d3backed No | 0c | 7,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb83…e612backed No | 0c | 7,140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 1c | 7,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 36c | 6,719$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.79 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed Yes | 36c | 6,679$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 73c | 6,541$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 71c | 6,437$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600.11 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3716…67c8backed No | 0c | 6,270$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…8a1ebacked No | 0c | 6,083$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked No | 70c | 5,918$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,143.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.