TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,451 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under47c28,438$13,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,363.9843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c14,916$7,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,010.774,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over34c3,318$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over55c3,021$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.4511335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c2,555$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.724,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under45c1,825$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.2511543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over54c1,763$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.6125049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9218536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over55c1,269$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.8211156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x395c…ad6fbacked Over53c1,250$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab7d…d04bbacked Under47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9921247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee21…e2febacked Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+135.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0915952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over53c856.77$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.952,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under69c788.34$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.051,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over53c708.79$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.983,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c613.45$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over53c561$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6716139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under54c542.8$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.411,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under54c529.46$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.911,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c510.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c456.32$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Over47c340.85$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.853321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Under62c326$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.211342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under52c317.12$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over34c299.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.987152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over53c292.49$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4d…af28backed Under76c263.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023753.6%127 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under14c236.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5431345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Over55c234.55$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.554269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under45c210.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5416642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Over55c184.66$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.029442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x025d…c171backed Over55c182.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb5…fc57backed Over39c161.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over53c155.15$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.925269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.542348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Over55c149.49$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2713441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under54c147.93$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.522948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2231151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under39c136.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under75c132.01$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.519166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under45c131.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3960945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c130.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.494,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over54c126.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c120.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.992,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under45c115$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over55c109.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3210850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over46c106.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1656447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over34c105.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7427138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.774341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over55c100.52$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5218459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under60c100.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.311,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4769337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under62c99.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.497754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over54c99.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9712558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under24c99.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.981,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under54c98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.921,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878c…23a2backed Over33c97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa363…4812backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb567…4d4abacked Under12c90.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.854332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Under45c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.64332.6%14 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over47c86.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.841,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under12c83.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c70.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.971,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c64.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.95,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over55c63.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.223657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under71c62.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under65c61.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over53c59.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.691746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under45c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.232747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under45c55.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.227345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over54c55.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7523651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under62c51.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7141449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under49c48.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8114931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over24c48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.481,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under51c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6814858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over53c46.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0450948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over51c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.312253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.453775.7%28 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over55c44.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0214054.3%76 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee96…fff6backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bc…f071backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over55c37.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4936154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over33c34.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.872,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…3fb1backed Over35c32.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.229347.3%44 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.524044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Over55c29.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.452568%17 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d41…2e0abacked Under72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.279552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2734556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Over56c26.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.893857.9%22 W · 16 L+7.5wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+67.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under54c25.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8737652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c25.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.923,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.