NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3fae25fe3f56c2aa3f31aec321777f22dbbac1ec6959fb74eb9faba6197c02d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,045 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 49c | 51,468$25,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,185.84 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 20,534$10,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,058.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 49c | 13,626$6,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.78 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 12,273$6,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,013.97 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 51c | 11,232$5,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,503.68 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 10,568$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,178.32 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 2,469$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.52 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…299cbacked Over | 52c | 2,324$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…4a24backed Over | 51c | 2,324$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 1,817$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 48c | 1,579$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.8 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Under | 62c | 1,359$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.35 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 1,299$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.27 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,221$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 985.43$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.72 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 780$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.5 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 765.47$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 51c | 722$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.78 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 51c | 664$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.64 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 600$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.64 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 53c | 403$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.41 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 318.08$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 52c | 295$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 52c | 272$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 51c | 267.34$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed Over | 53c | 257.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 208.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 60c | 208.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Under | 50c | 202.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 193$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 189$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Over | 53c | 188.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 52c | 180.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 52c | 163$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 49c | 150.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 139.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 138.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 138.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 52c | 136$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 50c | 127.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Over | 53c | 123.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 48c | 123.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 50c | 116.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 50c | 115.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Under | 50c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 51c | 97.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 59c | 97.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Over | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 40c | 88.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f3a9backed Over | 52c | 86.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 75c | 84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed Over | 59c | 83.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Under | 50c | 78.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 41c | 70.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 33c | 63.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 52c | 63.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 50c | 61.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 60.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 51c | 55.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Over | 54c | 53.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked Over | 53c | 53.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 52c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 50c | 47.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Under | 50c | 45.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 53c | 44.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…fa63backed Under | 48c | 43.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 50c | 43.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Over | 53c | 42.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…4a7cbacked Over | 52c | 40.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 49c | 39.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 59c | 37.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 52c | 35.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 48c | 33.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-2.5)Wizards won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- John Konchar: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Jazz (-4.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Jazz (-5.5)Wizards won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Wizards vs. JazzWizards won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.