NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26db82d0d089fe118d674fa377d83d5622c731e16a7e02eaa0531acc2497460b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,900 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 53c | 54,640$28,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,970.46 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under | 77c | 26,000$20,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,019.7 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 23c | 25,925$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,962.25 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 23,995$11,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,861.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 10,932$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 47c | 8,093$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.29 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 7,811$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.93 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 7,470$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.09 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…df6ebacked Under | 51c | 4,600$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…dc72backed Under | 49c | 3,920$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…4a87backed Over | 51c | 3,920$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 3,218$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…4a78backed Under | 50c | 2,951$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 2,655$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…b967backed Under | 50c | 2,639$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e7…268fbacked Over | 50c | 2,581$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Over | 47c | 2,422$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.66 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69c…1afbbacked Over | 50c | 2,251$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 2,082$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 22c | 2,059$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.84 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 2,033$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.33 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf865…694cbacked Under | 50c | 2,017$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 46c | 1,958$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.32 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…ff6abacked Over | 50c | 1,906$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac32…20f8backed Over | 49c | 1,891$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 46c | 1,841$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.07 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…a760backed Over | 50c | 1,674$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 1,642$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.95 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…2384backed Over | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Under | 53c | 1,315$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Over | 47c | 1,284$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.52 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…ee02backed Under | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 28c | 1,187$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.53 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 47c | 1,181$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.64 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c9…7be5backed Under | 50c | 1,173$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…306ebacked Under | 50c | 1,102$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…c912backed Under | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…2963backed Over | 50c | 1,052$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…45abbacked Over | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 1,031$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.13 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Over | 47c | 1,023$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.15 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 1,008$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 76c | 893.7$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 46c | 879$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.56 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 740.18$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.72 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 738.28$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…4e9cbacked Over | 49c | 710$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 30c | 657.01$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…14cdbacked Over | 48c | 612.5$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 67c | 549.97$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…86edbacked Over | 49c | 537$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…4aa3backed Under | 77c | 500$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 20c | 496.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.35 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Over | 61c | 494.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 75c | 491.93$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.93 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 28c | 469.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.89 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 63c | 446.89$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 79c | 420.66$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.4 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 32c | 381.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…c44cbacked Under | 54c | 374.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 49c | 359.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Under | 77c | 357.17$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.53 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Over | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…fd7fbacked Over | 49c | 296$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 46c | 285.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 276.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…56b3backed Over | 52c | 263.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 55c | 245.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 24c | 209$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…f9c1backed Under | 50c | 205$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…3ebdbacked Over | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 49c | 191.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 24c | 190.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 69c | 187.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Over | 24c | 187.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…3cc4backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 24c | 166$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 40c | 162.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 40c | 156.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 53c | 150.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 40c | 149.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 38c | 148.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Under | 79c | 126.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 49c | 123.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-2.5)Wizards won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- John Konchar: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Jazz (-4.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Jazz (-5.5)Wizards won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Wizards vs. JazzWizards won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.