Tennis · resolved market
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ebfcb6a4b1aff74ccaad641a1dd8cab7c74baf24489990c8a7b0898ad70d24a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Molcanof Roberto Carballes Baena, Alex Molcan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 40c | 74,900$29,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,802.56 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Alex Molcan | 56c | 23,559$13,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,375.18 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Alex Molcan | 53c | 18,277$9,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,573.91 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Alex Molcan | 50c | 14,999$7,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,530.6 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 9,500$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Alex Molcan | 73c | 5,010$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.9 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Alex Molcan | 57c | 4,889$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 4,773$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.87 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Alex Molcan | 35c | 4,743$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.78 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 45c | 4,739$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.09 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alex Molcan | 56c | 4,509$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.81 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Alex Molcan | 58c | 3,958$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.15 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 42c | 3,584$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.22 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 55c | 2,654$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.5 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 2,557$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.4 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Alex Molcan | 76c | 2,478$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.53 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 75c | 2,423$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.15 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Alex Molcan | 61c | 2,296$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.49 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 51c | 2,226$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.26 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alex Molcan | 58c | 2,147$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.54 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Alex Molcan | 62c | 2,131$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.59 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alex Molcan | 48c | 2,096$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.41 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Alex Molcan | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Alex Molcan | 50c | 1,971$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.09 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 30c | 1,945$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.05 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 1,889$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.98 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alex Molcan | 54c | 1,851$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.2 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 40c | 1,742$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.7 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Alex Molcan | 46c | 1,739$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.33 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Alex Molcan | 44c | 1,535$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.04 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Alex Molcan | 49c | 1,535$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.98 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 47c | 1,526$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.38 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Molcan | 53c | 1,389$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 1,346$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.71 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 76c | 1,297$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.59 | 150 | 58.7%88 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 39c | 1,261$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.98 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 1,201$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.45 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Alex Molcan | 47c | 1,195$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.99 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 46c | 1,154$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.08 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 50c | 1,111$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.84 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 1,084$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.26 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Alex Molcan | 56c | 1,082$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.93 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Alex Molcan | 40c | 1,080$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.48 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Alex Molcan | 59c | 1,073$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.09 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 1,053$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 39c | 998.84$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.83 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 44c | 988.8$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.48 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…a36cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 52c | 987.35$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.17 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Alex Molcan | 54c | 963.86$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.69 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 41c | 914.21$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 12c | 913.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Alex Molcan | 48c | 912.42$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.79 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alex Molcan | 53c | 888.86$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.98 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…3ee4backed Alex Molcan | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Alex Molcan | 60c | 813.32$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 43c | 801.61$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.69 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 4c | 779.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Alex Molcan | 49c | 771.81$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.35 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 57c | 770.06$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bd…4c63backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 44c | 750.73$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alex Molcan | 60c | 750.03$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.01 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…8bd3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 39c | 741.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 38c | 673.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.1 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 44c | 668.08$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.96 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 661.06$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.68 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Alex Molcan | 55c | 655.45$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.12 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Alex Molcan | 55c | 643.45$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.29 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Alex Molcan | 41c | 589.44$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.23 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 54c | 544.62$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.17 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…494abacked Alex Molcan | 56c | 540.6$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Alex Molcan | 60c | 527.29$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.05 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed Alex Molcan | 60c | 517.34$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.94 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 510.86$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.19 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 505.51$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Alex Molcan | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alex Molcan | 57c | 498.87$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.17 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…d338backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 487.03$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Alex Molcan | 38c | 481.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 451.85$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 55c | 444.51$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.69 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Alex Molcan | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.95 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Alex Molcan | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alex Molcan | 56c | 417.03$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.42 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Alex Molcan | 46c | 412.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.93 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 44c | 401.06$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.85 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Alex Molcan | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…9167backed Alex Molcan | 51c | 394.65$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 46c | 388.9$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 50c | 368.62$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 42c | 367.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…db2ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 36c | 364.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Alex Molcan | 59c | 358.75$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Alex Molcan | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 351.57$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…d7e2backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 72c | 343.59$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 36c | 341.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Alex Molcan | 31c | 338.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.42 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…b709backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 41c | 318.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcanthis page
- Set Handicap: Molcan (-1.5) vs Baena (+1.5)Baena won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.